{"status":true,"post":{"id":23436,"user_id":1,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:29:14","created_at":"2020-11-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:29:14.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23436,"is_featured":0,"title":"Amerikan se\u00e7imlerinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye etkisi...","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e<\/strong><\/span>
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ABD se\u00e7imleri o kadar \u00e7ok mesaj ta\u015f\u0131yor ki i\u00e7inde, do\u011frusu neresinden ba\u015flamal\u0131, karar vermekte zorluk \u00e7ekiyor insan. Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclmedik \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir kutupla\u015fma ya\u015fan\u0131yor bu d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u2018g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u2019 \u00fclkesinde. Mahkemelere ta\u015f\u0131nan bir se\u00e7im, ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011ferlendirmeyi hak ediyor. Ama galiba en iyisi, \u00fclkenin kendi i\u00e7indeki geli\u015fmeleri sonraya b\u0131rak\u0131p, bu a\u015famada T\u00fcrkiye ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilere bakmak. \u00d6ncelikle T\u00fcrkiye ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ticarete bakal\u0131m. Bir kere, ticaretimiz art\u0131yor. <\/span>
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ABD\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin demir-\u00e7elik \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00fczde 50 vergi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi uygulamalarla ticarette s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fansa da son 10 y\u0131la bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ABD\u2019ye ihracat\u0131 kademeli olarak art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkeye ihracat\u0131 <\/span>
3.8 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyindeydi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 8.3 milyar dolar oldu. 2020\u2019de beklentiler bu rakam\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde... <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 167.9 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat yaparken, bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5\u2019ini ABD\u2019ye ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Tabii ayn\u0131 y\u0131l T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 223 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 5.5 oldu. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 da son 10 y\u0131lda T\u00fcrkiye lehine d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span>
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\u00d6te yandan, dev ABD pazar\u0131ndan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z pay, deyim yerindeyse devede kulak. ABD ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 3 trilyon 129 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat ve 2 trilyon 501 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu dev ithalattan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay ise \u015fimdilik sadece binde 3. <\/span><\/p>

Dikkat \u00e7ekmek istedi\u011fim nokta \u015fu: Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn dinamikleri bu pay\u0131 art\u0131rmam\u0131za imkan tan\u0131yor. Zaten bunun i\u015faretleri de g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Pandemi d\u00f6neminde ABD\u2019ye ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu y\u0131l ABD, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00e7ok ihracat yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkeler s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya y\u00fckseldi. Devam\u0131 i\u00e7in de zemin var... <\/span>
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Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 sertle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ekonomi politikalar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat oldu. <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye de bu konuda bo\u015f durmad\u0131. Amerikal\u0131 bakanlara mektuplar yaz\u0131ld\u0131. \u00c7in\u2019in ABD tedarik zincirinden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 ile do\u011facak bo\u015flu\u011fu T\u00fcrk firmalar\u0131n\u0131n kapatabilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131. <\/span>
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Ama konu sadece Trump ile ba\u015flay\u0131p biten bir geli\u015fme de\u011fil. Bir konjonkt\u00fcr geli\u015fmesinden \u00e7ok bir e\u011filim... Bu e\u011filim, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir tedarik merkezi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6nemli bir nedeni. <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye, \u00c7in\u2019e alternatif arayan k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zincirlerinin radar\u0131na girdi. Bir\u00e7ok k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zinciri de ABD merkezli. Son birka\u00e7 ayd\u0131r, ABD merkezli markalar ve b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131m \u015firketleri tedarik i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmeye ilk dikkat \u00e7ekenlerden biri, \u0130TO Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eekib Avdagi\u00e7 oldu... Denizli\u2019den Kahramanmara\u015f\u2019a \u00fcretici firmalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 yoklamaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Ticaret ve sanayi odalar\u0131m\u0131zla temasa ge\u00e7iyorlar. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 devam edecek. Yoklamalar, giderek daha fazla sipari\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecek. <\/span>
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Son se\u00e7imlerde bir kez daha fark ettik. Amerika\u2019n\u0131n her eyaleti bir \u00fclke b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde. Hem de zengin bir \u00fclke. N\u00fcfus bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da, gelir d\u00fczeyi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da... Son d\u00f6nemde bu olguyu dikkate al\u0131p, ABD\u2019nin farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerine d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00fcr\u00fcn satmak i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7en ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z pazar ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, lojistik destek vb. konulara e\u011fildik\u00e7e, \u00fcr\u00fcn tescili gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapt\u0131k\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar al\u0131yor. Analize dayal\u0131 ticaret giri\u015fimlerinde y\u00fcz g\u00fcld\u00fcren neticeleri beraberinde getiriyor. <\/span>
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Son d\u00f6nemde ihracatta \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fcr\u00fcnlerimizden biri t\u0131bbi malzemeler. <\/span>
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Ciddi bir talep var. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin pandemi d\u00f6nemindeki performans\u0131 da bunda etkili oldu. Bu d\u00f6nemde h\u0131z kazanan t\u0131bbi malzeme ihracat\u0131 devam edecek. <\/span>
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Haz\u0131r giyimde de benzer bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u015eiddetlenen \u00c7in-ABD ticaret sava\u015f\u0131, salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinde Amerikal\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n rotay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00e7evirmelerini tetikledi. \u00d6rne\u011fin haziran ay\u0131nda ABD\u2019ye yap\u0131lan haz\u0131r giyim ihracat\u0131 y\u00fczde 200\u2019den fazla artarak 100 milyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span>
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ABD\u2019yi kendilerine hedef se\u00e7en mobilyac\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z da bu pazarda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 i\u015flere imza at\u0131yor. Dile kolay, ABD y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 40 milyar dolar mobilya ithal ediyor. Tabii, daha \u00f6nce de Amerika\u2019ya mobilya sat\u0131yorduk. Ancak mesela 5 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rsan\u0131z durum \u015fimdi epey farkl\u0131. ABD pazar\u0131na mobilya ihracat\u0131m\u0131z toplasan\u0131z 20 milyon dolar\u0131 zor buluyordu. Oysa mobilyac\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 8 ay\u0131nda 150 milyon dolara yak\u0131n ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiler. Daha da artacak...<\/span>
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\u2018Nereden biliyorsun\u2019 diyebilirsiniz tabii... Israrla \u2018daha da artacak, daha da s\u00fcrecek\u2019 dememin bir arka plan\u0131 var. Bak\u0131n, Trump\u2019\u0131n 2016\u2019da kazanmas\u0131 Amerikan se\u00e7im sisteminin bir cilvesi de\u011fildi yaln\u0131zca. \u2018Make America great again\u2019 (Amerika\u2019y\u0131 tekrar b\u00fcy\u00fck yapmak) mottosu da basit bir se\u00e7im slogan\u0131 de\u011fildi. Daha derin nedenleri vard\u0131. Bu nedenler h\u00e2l\u00e2 ge\u00e7erli. Biden\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011fa se\u00e7ilmesi bu nedenleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyecek. Belki s\u00f6ylemler yumu\u015far, dil de\u011fi\u015fir ama Obama Doktrini i\u00e7inde de yer alan \u00c7in ile m\u00fccadele konusu art\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fmez. ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in politikas\u0131 ters y\u00fcz olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/span>
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Biden ABD\u2019sinin, Rusya ile de daha s\u0131cak ili\u015fkiler kuraca\u011f\u0131na dair bir i\u015faret yok. Keza \u0130ran ile de \u00f6yle... Konumu gere\u011fi, hem \u0130ran hem Rusya ile restle\u015febilen T\u00fcrkiye, ABD b\u00fcrokrasisinin \u00e7ok \u00f6nemsedi\u011fi bir \u00fclke. Amerikan b\u00fcrokrasisinin bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6nemli. <\/span>
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\u00dcstelik Biden d\u00f6neminde daha da \u00f6nemli hale gelebilir. Biden, geleneksel tipte bir devlet adam\u0131. D\u00f6neminin \u2018en gen\u00e7 senat\u00f6r\u00fc\u2019 olarak bir par\u00e7as\u0131 haline geldi\u011fi 1973\u2019ten bu yana Amerikan politik elitinin se\u00e7kin bir \u00fcyesi. Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n, Amerikan bas\u0131n\u0131na da s\u0131k s\u0131k yans\u0131yan, Amerikan b\u00fcrokrasisini adeta \u00e7\u0131ld\u0131rtan kararlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Biden\u2019\u0131n Beyaz Saray\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 halinde, Ba\u015fkan-b\u00fcrokrasi ili\u015fkilerinin yeniden eski ray\u0131na oturaca\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/span>
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Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, Biden kampanya d\u00f6neminde Ankara\u2019y\u0131 bir hayli k\u0131zd\u0131ran a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapt\u0131. <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili sarf etti\u011fi s\u00f6zler vatanda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da k\u0131zd\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak \u2018Ba\u015fkan\u2019 Biden\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 farkl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Hem yukar\u0131da bir k\u0131sm\u0131na de\u011finmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m jeopolitik strateji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem de se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131 boyunca \u00f6nem verdi\u011fini s\u0131k s\u0131k dile getirdi\u011fi \u2018NATO m\u00fcttefikli\u011fi\u2019 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan...<\/span>
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50 B\u0130N DE\u011e\u0130L, 5 M\u0130LYON G\u00d6MLEK S\u0130PAR\u0130\u015e ED\u0130YORLAR<\/strong><\/span>
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\u015e\u00fcphesiz, \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 ili\u015fkiler \u00f6ncelikle \u00e7\u0131karlara ve g\u00fcce dayan\u0131yor. Unutmayal\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelen bask\u0131lar\u0131, futbolcu tabiriyle \u2018g\u00f6\u011fs\u00fcnde yumu\u015fatan\u2019, pek \u00e7ok konuda bize hayli m\u00fcttefik davranan Ba\u015fkan Trump, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi F-35\u2019lerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u0131rakan belgeyi imzalayan Trump\u2019la ayn\u0131 ki\u015fiydi sonu\u00e7ta... <\/span>
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Yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 bin 500 y\u0131l ge\u00e7se de, tarih\u00e7i Tukidides\u2019in izleyip yazd\u0131klar\u0131ndan bu yana \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 ili\u015fkilerde temel kurallar de\u011fi\u015fmedi. <\/span>
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Hele ki, d\u00fcnyada jeopolitik t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, var olan b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerle, yeni y\u00fckselen g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131ndaki hegemonya m\u00fccadelesinde, dostluk ve m\u00fcttefiklik ili\u015fkilerinin de h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015febildi\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde... <\/span>
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Ne Trump, ne Biden... Hangisi olursa olsun hi\u00e7bir ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u2018T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi kaybeden ba\u015fkan\u2019 olmak istemez. B\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutacaklar\u0131 bir oyun geli\u015ftirmeleri de d\u00fcne g\u00f6re daha zor. <\/span>
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Peki, bu durumda i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ne yapmal\u0131? Do\u011frusu, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 i\u015fine bakacak. Mutlaka gel-gitler, t\u00fcrb\u00fclanslar olacak ama temel e\u011filimler bir ba\u015fkandan di\u011ferine birden bire de\u011fi\u015fmez. <\/span>
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20 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda olan ticaret hacmimiz bir anda hedeflendi\u011fi gibi 100 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kmayacak belki ama ABD\u2019nin kontrol etmeye ve ayar vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnya jeopoliti\u011fi nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kan f\u0131rsat s\u00fcrecek. <\/span>
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F\u0131rsat\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak i\u00e7in ABD\u2019li ve di\u011fer dev k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zincirlerinin taleplerini kar\u015f\u0131layacak bi\u00e7imde haz\u0131rlanmam\u0131z gerekiyor. \u00d6l\u00e7eklerimizi b\u00fcy\u00fctece\u011fiz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD\u2019li dev al\u0131c\u0131lar, 50 bin de\u011fil, 5 milyon g\u00f6mlek sipari\u015f ediyor. Bu talepleri kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in k\u00fcmelenmeleri, i\u015fbirliklerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karmam\u0131z kritik \u00f6nemde. Lojistik altyap\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmemiz de \u00f6yle... <\/span>
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Laf\u0131n k\u0131sas\u0131, hava bizden yana. Bu havay\u0131 i\u015fe, a\u015fa, refaha d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek de \u00f6ncelikle bizim elimizde.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"amerikan-secimlerinin-turkiyeye-etkisi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Amerikan se\u00e7imlerinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye etkisi...","meta_description":"HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1096,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":1,"name":"HAKAN","surname":"G\u00dcLDA\u011e","email":"uakisik@eronat.com.tr","slug":"hakan-guldag","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600kKPzKvWx8Xpxx9n.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:32.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23535,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23436,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Amerikan se\u00e7imlerinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye etkisi...","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e<\/strong><\/span>
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ABD se\u00e7imleri o kadar \u00e7ok mesaj ta\u015f\u0131yor ki i\u00e7inde, do\u011frusu neresinden ba\u015flamal\u0131, karar vermekte zorluk \u00e7ekiyor insan. Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclmedik \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir kutupla\u015fma ya\u015fan\u0131yor bu d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u2018g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u2019 \u00fclkesinde. Mahkemelere ta\u015f\u0131nan bir se\u00e7im, ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011ferlendirmeyi hak ediyor. Ama galiba en iyisi, \u00fclkenin kendi i\u00e7indeki geli\u015fmeleri sonraya b\u0131rak\u0131p, bu a\u015famada T\u00fcrkiye ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilere bakmak. \u00d6ncelikle T\u00fcrkiye ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ticarete bakal\u0131m. Bir kere, ticaretimiz art\u0131yor. <\/span>
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ABD\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin demir-\u00e7elik \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00fczde 50 vergi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi uygulamalarla ticarette s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fansa da son 10 y\u0131la bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ABD\u2019ye ihracat\u0131 kademeli olarak art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu \u00fclkeye ihracat\u0131 <\/span>
3.8 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyindeydi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 8.3 milyar dolar oldu. 2020\u2019de beklentiler bu rakam\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde... <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 167.9 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat yaparken, bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5\u2019ini ABD\u2019ye ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Tabii ayn\u0131 y\u0131l T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 223 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 5.5 oldu. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 da son 10 y\u0131lda T\u00fcrkiye lehine d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span>
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\u00d6te yandan, dev ABD pazar\u0131ndan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z pay, deyim yerindeyse devede kulak. ABD ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 3 trilyon 129 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat ve 2 trilyon 501 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Bu dev ithalattan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay ise \u015fimdilik sadece binde 3. <\/span><\/p>

Dikkat \u00e7ekmek istedi\u011fim nokta \u015fu: Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn dinamikleri bu pay\u0131 art\u0131rmam\u0131za imkan tan\u0131yor. Zaten bunun i\u015faretleri de g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Pandemi d\u00f6neminde ABD\u2019ye ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu y\u0131l ABD, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00e7ok ihracat yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkeler s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya y\u00fckseldi. Devam\u0131 i\u00e7in de zemin var... <\/span>
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Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 sertle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ekonomi politikalar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat oldu. <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye de bu konuda bo\u015f durmad\u0131. Amerikal\u0131 bakanlara mektuplar yaz\u0131ld\u0131. \u00c7in\u2019in ABD tedarik zincirinden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 ile do\u011facak bo\u015flu\u011fu T\u00fcrk firmalar\u0131n\u0131n kapatabilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131. <\/span>
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Ama konu sadece Trump ile ba\u015flay\u0131p biten bir geli\u015fme de\u011fil. Bir konjonkt\u00fcr geli\u015fmesinden \u00e7ok bir e\u011filim... Bu e\u011filim, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir tedarik merkezi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6nemli bir nedeni. <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye, \u00c7in\u2019e alternatif arayan k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zincirlerinin radar\u0131na girdi. Bir\u00e7ok k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zinciri de ABD merkezli. Son birka\u00e7 ayd\u0131r, ABD merkezli markalar ve b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131m \u015firketleri tedarik i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmeye ilk dikkat \u00e7ekenlerden biri, \u0130TO Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eekib Avdagi\u00e7 oldu... Denizli\u2019den Kahramanmara\u015f\u2019a \u00fcretici firmalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 yoklamaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Ticaret ve sanayi odalar\u0131m\u0131zla temasa ge\u00e7iyorlar. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 devam edecek. Yoklamalar, giderek daha fazla sipari\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecek. <\/span>
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Son se\u00e7imlerde bir kez daha fark ettik. Amerika\u2019n\u0131n her eyaleti bir \u00fclke b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde. Hem de zengin bir \u00fclke. N\u00fcfus bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da, gelir d\u00fczeyi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da... Son d\u00f6nemde bu olguyu dikkate al\u0131p, ABD\u2019nin farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerine d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00fcr\u00fcn satmak i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7en ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z pazar ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, lojistik destek vb. konulara e\u011fildik\u00e7e, \u00fcr\u00fcn tescili gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapt\u0131k\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar al\u0131yor. Analize dayal\u0131 ticaret giri\u015fimlerinde y\u00fcz g\u00fcld\u00fcren neticeleri beraberinde getiriyor. <\/span>
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Son d\u00f6nemde ihracatta \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fcr\u00fcnlerimizden biri t\u0131bbi malzemeler. <\/span>
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Ciddi bir talep var. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin pandemi d\u00f6nemindeki performans\u0131 da bunda etkili oldu. Bu d\u00f6nemde h\u0131z kazanan t\u0131bbi malzeme ihracat\u0131 devam edecek. <\/span>
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Haz\u0131r giyimde de benzer bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u015eiddetlenen \u00c7in-ABD ticaret sava\u015f\u0131, salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinde Amerikal\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n rotay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00e7evirmelerini tetikledi. \u00d6rne\u011fin haziran ay\u0131nda ABD\u2019ye yap\u0131lan haz\u0131r giyim ihracat\u0131 y\u00fczde 200\u2019den fazla artarak 100 milyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span>
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ABD\u2019yi kendilerine hedef se\u00e7en mobilyac\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z da bu pazarda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 i\u015flere imza at\u0131yor. Dile kolay, ABD y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 40 milyar dolar mobilya ithal ediyor. Tabii, daha \u00f6nce de Amerika\u2019ya mobilya sat\u0131yorduk. Ancak mesela 5 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rsan\u0131z durum \u015fimdi epey farkl\u0131. ABD pazar\u0131na mobilya ihracat\u0131m\u0131z toplasan\u0131z 20 milyon dolar\u0131 zor buluyordu. Oysa mobilyac\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 8 ay\u0131nda 150 milyon dolara yak\u0131n ihracat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiler. Daha da artacak...<\/span>
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\u2018Nereden biliyorsun\u2019 diyebilirsiniz tabii... Israrla \u2018daha da artacak, daha da s\u00fcrecek\u2019 dememin bir arka plan\u0131 var. Bak\u0131n, Trump\u2019\u0131n 2016\u2019da kazanmas\u0131 Amerikan se\u00e7im sisteminin bir cilvesi de\u011fildi yaln\u0131zca. \u2018Make America great again\u2019 (Amerika\u2019y\u0131 tekrar b\u00fcy\u00fck yapmak) mottosu da basit bir se\u00e7im slogan\u0131 de\u011fildi. Daha derin nedenleri vard\u0131. Bu nedenler h\u00e2l\u00e2 ge\u00e7erli. Biden\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011fa se\u00e7ilmesi bu nedenleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyecek. Belki s\u00f6ylemler yumu\u015far, dil de\u011fi\u015fir ama Obama Doktrini i\u00e7inde de yer alan \u00c7in ile m\u00fccadele konusu art\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fmez. ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in politikas\u0131 ters y\u00fcz olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/span>
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Biden ABD\u2019sinin, Rusya ile de daha s\u0131cak ili\u015fkiler kuraca\u011f\u0131na dair bir i\u015faret yok. Keza \u0130ran ile de \u00f6yle... Konumu gere\u011fi, hem \u0130ran hem Rusya ile restle\u015febilen T\u00fcrkiye, ABD b\u00fcrokrasisinin \u00e7ok \u00f6nemsedi\u011fi bir \u00fclke. Amerikan b\u00fcrokrasisinin bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6nemli. <\/span>
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\u00dcstelik Biden d\u00f6neminde daha da \u00f6nemli hale gelebilir. Biden, geleneksel tipte bir devlet adam\u0131. D\u00f6neminin \u2018en gen\u00e7 senat\u00f6r\u00fc\u2019 olarak bir par\u00e7as\u0131 haline geldi\u011fi 1973\u2019ten bu yana Amerikan politik elitinin se\u00e7kin bir \u00fcyesi. Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n, Amerikan bas\u0131n\u0131na da s\u0131k s\u0131k yans\u0131yan, Amerikan b\u00fcrokrasisini adeta \u00e7\u0131ld\u0131rtan kararlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Biden\u2019\u0131n Beyaz Saray\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 halinde, Ba\u015fkan-b\u00fcrokrasi ili\u015fkilerinin yeniden eski ray\u0131na oturaca\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/span>
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Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz, Biden kampanya d\u00f6neminde Ankara\u2019y\u0131 bir hayli k\u0131zd\u0131ran a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapt\u0131. <\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili sarf etti\u011fi s\u00f6zler vatanda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da k\u0131zd\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak \u2018Ba\u015fkan\u2019 Biden\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 farkl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Hem yukar\u0131da bir k\u0131sm\u0131na de\u011finmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m jeopolitik strateji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem de se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131 boyunca \u00f6nem verdi\u011fini s\u0131k s\u0131k dile getirdi\u011fi \u2018NATO m\u00fcttefikli\u011fi\u2019 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan...<\/span>
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50 B\u0130N DE\u011e\u0130L, 5 M\u0130LYON G\u00d6MLEK S\u0130PAR\u0130\u015e ED\u0130YORLAR<\/strong><\/span>
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\u015e\u00fcphesiz, \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 ili\u015fkiler \u00f6ncelikle \u00e7\u0131karlara ve g\u00fcce dayan\u0131yor. Unutmayal\u0131m, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelen bask\u0131lar\u0131, futbolcu tabiriyle \u2018g\u00f6\u011fs\u00fcnde yumu\u015fatan\u2019, pek \u00e7ok konuda bize hayli m\u00fcttefik davranan Ba\u015fkan Trump, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi F-35\u2019lerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u0131rakan belgeyi imzalayan Trump\u2019la ayn\u0131 ki\u015fiydi sonu\u00e7ta... <\/span>
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Yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 bin 500 y\u0131l ge\u00e7se de, tarih\u00e7i Tukidides\u2019in izleyip yazd\u0131klar\u0131ndan bu yana \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 ili\u015fkilerde temel kurallar de\u011fi\u015fmedi. <\/span>
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Hele ki, d\u00fcnyada jeopolitik t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, var olan b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerle, yeni y\u00fckselen g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131ndaki hegemonya m\u00fccadelesinde, dostluk ve m\u00fcttefiklik ili\u015fkilerinin de h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015febildi\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde... <\/span>
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Ne Trump, ne Biden... Hangisi olursa olsun hi\u00e7bir ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u2018T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi kaybeden ba\u015fkan\u2019 olmak istemez. B\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutacaklar\u0131 bir oyun geli\u015ftirmeleri de d\u00fcne g\u00f6re daha zor. <\/span>
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Peki, bu durumda i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ne yapmal\u0131? Do\u011frusu, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 i\u015fine bakacak. Mutlaka gel-gitler, t\u00fcrb\u00fclanslar olacak ama temel e\u011filimler bir ba\u015fkandan di\u011ferine birden bire de\u011fi\u015fmez. <\/span>
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20 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda olan ticaret hacmimiz bir anda hedeflendi\u011fi gibi 100 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kmayacak belki ama ABD\u2019nin kontrol etmeye ve ayar vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnya jeopoliti\u011fi nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kan f\u0131rsat s\u00fcrecek. <\/span>
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F\u0131rsat\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak i\u00e7in ABD\u2019li ve di\u011fer dev k\u00fcresel de\u011fer zincirlerinin taleplerini kar\u015f\u0131layacak bi\u00e7imde haz\u0131rlanmam\u0131z gerekiyor. \u00d6l\u00e7eklerimizi b\u00fcy\u00fctece\u011fiz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD\u2019li dev al\u0131c\u0131lar, 50 bin de\u011fil, 5 milyon g\u00f6mlek sipari\u015f ediyor. Bu talepleri kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in k\u00fcmelenmeleri, i\u015fbirliklerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karmam\u0131z kritik \u00f6nemde. Lojistik altyap\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmemiz de \u00f6yle... <\/span>
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Laf\u0131n k\u0131sas\u0131, hava bizden yana. Bu havay\u0131 i\u015fe, a\u015fa, refaha d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek de \u00f6ncelikle bizim elimizde.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"amerikan-secimlerinin-turkiyeye-etkisi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Amerikan se\u00e7imlerinin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye etkisi...","meta_description":"HAKAN G\u00dcLDA\u011e","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1096,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}