{"status":true,"post":{"id":20935,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:58:17","created_at":"2019-09-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:58:17.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20935,"is_featured":0,"title":"ABD ve \u00c7in bu sefer anla\u015f\u0131r m\u0131?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Fatih Oktay<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda m\u00fczakereler yeniden ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Bakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczeyindeki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerle ekim ba\u015flar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek m\u00fczakerelerin zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu sefer bir anla\u015fma olur mu? Olabilir; kal\u0131c\u0131 olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de olsa, iki taraf aras\u0131nda bar\u0131\u015f sa\u011flayacak bir anla\u015fma olmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD taraf\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in devlet destekli teknolojik geli\u015fme politikalar\u0131 ya\u015famsal bir tehdit olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor, \u00c7in taraf\u0131nda ise bunlar ya\u015famsal \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu konularda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrde bir anla\u015fma olsa da ABD\u2019yi tatmin edecek bir uygulama olamayacakt\u0131r. Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir bar\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu nedenle \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ama ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ge\u00e7ici de olsa bar\u0131\u015f istemek i\u00e7in iki taraf\u0131n da nedenleri var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD taraf\u0131nda, ekonomi ve finansal piyasalar\u0131n verdikleri sinyaller de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, Trump y\u00f6netiminin 2020\u2019deki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi \u00f6ncesinde hem piyasalar\u0131n havas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirecek hem de se\u00e7mene vaatlerin yerine getirilmesi olarak sunulabilecek bir anla\u015fmaya \u00e7ok ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131k. \u00c7in taraf\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00fclke ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki ticaret ve teknoloji bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ne s\u00fcreyle olursa olsun hafiflemesi son derece istendik bir durum. Ancak \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7imlere giderken Donald Trump i\u00e7in de yararl\u0131 olacak bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 istemesi i\u00e7in bir ba\u015fka neden daha olabilir; \u00c7in taraf\u0131 kendisi i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fclerin iyisi olarak Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imleri kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor olabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fim gibi ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fme Trump d\u00f6neminde de\u011fil, \u00f6nceki ba\u015fkan Obama d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flad\u0131. Obama y\u00f6netimini D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hillary Clinton\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cAsya\u2019ya Do\u011fru D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u201d politikas\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fcnde Pasifik\u2019te \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 NATO t\u00fcr\u00fc bir \u00f6rg\u00fctlenme olu\u015fturmay\u0131 hedefliyordu. Obama\u2019n\u0131n amac\u0131n\u0131 \u201cyeni y\u00fczy\u0131lda ekonominin kurallar\u0131n\u0131 yazan\u0131n, \u00c7in de\u011fil ABD olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak\u201d olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Trans Pasifik Ortakl\u0131k Anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve karde\u015fi Trans Atlantik Ticaret ve Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Anla\u015fmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya ticaretinde yer alman\u0131n devletin ekonomiye m\u00fcdahalesi ile ilgili ko\u015fullara ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu, mevcut hali ile \u00c7in\u2019i d\u0131\u015flayacak yeni bir d\u00fczen hedefliyordu. Obama d\u00f6nemi politikalar\u0131, di\u011fer \u00fclkelere, a\u00e7\u0131ktan \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 olmasa da ABD ile beraber olmay\u0131 \u00f6zendiren avantajlar sa\u011flamaya dayal\u0131yd\u0131 ve \u00c7in i\u00e7in zorlay\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar verebilirdiler.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u015fkan olur olmaz Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ilk i\u015fi ise Obama d\u00f6neminde imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Trans Pasifik Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekilmek oldu. Ard\u0131ndan da \u00c7in\u2019den \u00e7ok ABD\u2019nin geleneksel m\u00fcttefiklerini etkileyen, g\u00fcne\u015f paneli, \u00e7ama\u015f\u0131r makinas\u0131, \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyum gibi mallara ek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirilmesi; Meksika, Kanada, G\u00fcney Kore gibi m\u00fcttefiklerin mevcut serbest ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 ABD i\u00e7in daha avantajl\u0131 ko\u015fullarda yenilemeye zorlanmas\u0131 geldi. Obama d\u00f6nemi politikalar\u0131 di\u011fer \u00fclkeleri ABD etraf\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenmeye \u00f6zendirecek ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar olu\u015fturmaya dayal\u0131yken, Trump d\u00f6neminde d\u00fcstur herkesten bir \u015feyler almak oldu. \u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin \u00c7in i\u00e7in istendik olmayan uluslararas\u0131 birliktelikleri zora sokan bir ba\u015fkan aday\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7ilme \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek istemiyor olmas\u0131 kuvvetle muhtemeldir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda, taraflar birbirlerinin elini yanl\u0131\u015f okumazsa, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi bir anla\u015fma g\u00f6rebiliriz; se\u00e7imden sonra da yeniden alevlenen bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma\u2026<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"abd-ve-cin-bu-sefer-anlasir-mi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"ABD ve \u00c7in bu sefer anla\u015f\u0131r m\u0131?","meta_description":"Fatih Oktay","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1056,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21034,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20935,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"ABD ve \u00c7in bu sefer anla\u015f\u0131r m\u0131?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Fatih Oktay<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda m\u00fczakereler yeniden ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Bakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczeyindeki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerle ekim ba\u015flar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek m\u00fczakerelerin zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu sefer bir anla\u015fma olur mu? Olabilir; kal\u0131c\u0131 olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de olsa, iki taraf aras\u0131nda bar\u0131\u015f sa\u011flayacak bir anla\u015fma olmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD taraf\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in devlet destekli teknolojik geli\u015fme politikalar\u0131 ya\u015famsal bir tehdit olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor, \u00c7in taraf\u0131nda ise bunlar ya\u015famsal \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu konularda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrde bir anla\u015fma olsa da ABD\u2019yi tatmin edecek bir uygulama olamayacakt\u0131r. Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir bar\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu nedenle \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ama ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ge\u00e7ici de olsa bar\u0131\u015f istemek i\u00e7in iki taraf\u0131n da nedenleri var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD taraf\u0131nda, ekonomi ve finansal piyasalar\u0131n verdikleri sinyaller de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, Trump y\u00f6netiminin 2020\u2019deki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi \u00f6ncesinde hem piyasalar\u0131n havas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirecek hem de se\u00e7mene vaatlerin yerine getirilmesi olarak sunulabilecek bir anla\u015fmaya \u00e7ok ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131k. \u00c7in taraf\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00fclke ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki ticaret ve teknoloji bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ne s\u00fcreyle olursa olsun hafiflemesi son derece istendik bir durum. Ancak \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7imlere giderken Donald Trump i\u00e7in de yararl\u0131 olacak bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 istemesi i\u00e7in bir ba\u015fka neden daha olabilir; \u00c7in taraf\u0131 kendisi i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fclerin iyisi olarak Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imleri kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor olabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fim gibi ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fme Trump d\u00f6neminde de\u011fil, \u00f6nceki ba\u015fkan Obama d\u00f6neminde ba\u015flad\u0131. Obama y\u00f6netimini D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hillary Clinton\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cAsya\u2019ya Do\u011fru D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u201d politikas\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fcnde Pasifik\u2019te \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 NATO t\u00fcr\u00fc bir \u00f6rg\u00fctlenme olu\u015fturmay\u0131 hedefliyordu. Obama\u2019n\u0131n amac\u0131n\u0131 \u201cyeni y\u00fczy\u0131lda ekonominin kurallar\u0131n\u0131 yazan\u0131n, \u00c7in de\u011fil ABD olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak\u201d olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Trans Pasifik Ortakl\u0131k Anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve karde\u015fi Trans Atlantik Ticaret ve Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Anla\u015fmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya ticaretinde yer alman\u0131n devletin ekonomiye m\u00fcdahalesi ile ilgili ko\u015fullara ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu, mevcut hali ile \u00c7in\u2019i d\u0131\u015flayacak yeni bir d\u00fczen hedefliyordu. Obama d\u00f6nemi politikalar\u0131, di\u011fer \u00fclkelere, a\u00e7\u0131ktan \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 olmasa da ABD ile beraber olmay\u0131 \u00f6zendiren avantajlar sa\u011flamaya dayal\u0131yd\u0131 ve \u00c7in i\u00e7in zorlay\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar verebilirdiler.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u015fkan olur olmaz Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ilk i\u015fi ise Obama d\u00f6neminde imzalanm\u0131\u015f olan Trans Pasifik Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7ekilmek oldu. Ard\u0131ndan da \u00c7in\u2019den \u00e7ok ABD\u2019nin geleneksel m\u00fcttefiklerini etkileyen, g\u00fcne\u015f paneli, \u00e7ama\u015f\u0131r makinas\u0131, \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyum gibi mallara ek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirilmesi; Meksika, Kanada, G\u00fcney Kore gibi m\u00fcttefiklerin mevcut serbest ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 ABD i\u00e7in daha avantajl\u0131 ko\u015fullarda yenilemeye zorlanmas\u0131 geldi. Obama d\u00f6nemi politikalar\u0131 di\u011fer \u00fclkeleri ABD etraf\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenmeye \u00f6zendirecek ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar olu\u015fturmaya dayal\u0131yken, Trump d\u00f6neminde d\u00fcstur herkesten bir \u015feyler almak oldu. \u00dclke y\u00f6netiminin \u00c7in i\u00e7in istendik olmayan uluslararas\u0131 birliktelikleri zora sokan bir ba\u015fkan aday\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7ilme \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek istemiyor olmas\u0131 kuvvetle muhtemeldir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda, taraflar birbirlerinin elini yanl\u0131\u015f okumazsa, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi bir anla\u015fma g\u00f6rebiliriz; se\u00e7imden sonra da yeniden alevlenen bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma\u2026<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"abd-ve-cin-bu-sefer-anlasir-mi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"ABD ve \u00c7in bu sefer anla\u015f\u0131r m\u0131?","meta_description":"Fatih Oktay","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1056,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}