{"status":true,"post":{"id":21029,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:59:39","created_at":"2019-10-24T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:59:39.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21029,"is_featured":0,"title":"ABD-\u00c7in \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda ate\u015fkes","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Fatih Oktay<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00f6rt hafta \u00f6nce ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ile ilgili yaz\u0131da, ABD se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ge\u00e7ici ate\u015fkes sa\u011flayacak bir anla\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirmesini yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Geli\u015fmeler bu y\u00f6nde oldu. Bu ay\u0131n 15\u2019inde Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan gelen temkinli do\u011frulamalardan anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, iki taraf anla\u015fma konusunda anla\u015fm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor ve beklenmedik bir geli\u015fme olmazsa kas\u0131m ortalar\u0131nda \u015eili\u2019deki Asya Pasifik Ekonomi Konferans\u0131\u2019nda iki \u00fclkenin liderleri bir anla\u015fma imzalayacaklar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Anla\u015fma ko\u015fullar\u0131 hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmemi\u015fse de g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ABD taraf\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e verdi\u011fi, ekim ay\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in 250 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat mal\u0131 \u00fczerindeki \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 25 olan ek verginin 5 puan daha art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 ve aral\u0131k ortas\u0131nda 160 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat mal\u0131na y\u00fczde 15 ek vergi getirilmemesi ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olacak. Buna belki mevcut ek vergilerde sembolik bir azalma da eklenebilir. \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n vereceklerinin ba\u015f\u0131nda, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131llarda 20 milyar dolar dolay\u0131nda seyreden, ancak ticaret \u00e7eki\u015fmeleri nedeniyle 10 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olan ABD\u2019den tar\u0131m mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131n\u0131n 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde 40-50 milyar dolar dolay\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131 geliyor. Listeye, \u00c7in finansal piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019li \u015firketlere daha \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131n daha iyi korunmas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00f6viz kuru politikalar\u0131 ile ilgili ba\u015fka maddeler de eklenecek g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EK VERG\u0130LER T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130YE YANSIDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD taraf\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok yorumcu Trump y\u00f6netimini, ABD i\u00e7in esas sorun olan \u00c7in\u2019in devlet destekli ekonomik-teknolojik geli\u015fme modeli ile ilgili kazan\u0131mlar olmadan \u00c7in\u2019in yakas\u0131n\u0131 b\u0131rakan, \u00c7in\u2019in kazan\u00e7l\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir anla\u015fma yapmakla su\u00e7lamaktaysa da, durum hi\u00e7 \u00f6yle de\u011fil. IMF b\u00fcnyesinde yap\u0131lanlar da dahil bir\u00e7ok \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, ABD\u2019nin \u015fimdiye kadar uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ek vergilerin neredeyse b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ABD\u2019li sanayici ve t\u00fcketicilere yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ek vergi getirilmesi planlananlar, ABD\u2019nin ithalat\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 75 ve \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu mallar. Bunlara getirilen ek vergi, k\u0131sa ve orta d\u00f6nemde ba\u015fka kaynaklar bulunmas\u0131 olanaks\u0131z olaca\u011f\u0131ndan t\u00fcm\u00fcyle ABD taraf\u0131na, \u00f6zellikle de t\u00fcketicilere yans\u0131yacak, se\u00e7men tercihlerini etkileyebilecekti. Yani bu anla\u015fmayla Trump y\u00f6netimi hem zaten kendisine zarar verecek ek vergileri geri ad\u0131m atm\u0131\u015f olmadan uygulamaya koymama \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 elde ediyor, hem de k\u0131rsal y\u00f6re se\u00e7menlerini memnun edecek y\u00fckl\u00fc tar\u0131m mal\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir dizi kazan\u0131m sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N AVANTAJI SINIRLI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in taraf\u0131 bu anla\u015fmadan ne sa\u011fl\u0131yor? Pek bir \u015fey sa\u011fl\u0131yor g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Herkes gibi \u00c7in taraf\u0131 da, ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, bu anla\u015fman\u0131n en iyi ihtimalle se\u00e7im sonras\u0131na kadar ge\u00e7ici bir ate\u015fkes sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyor olsa gerek. Ge\u00e7ici de olsa ABD ile ili\u015fkilerde bir rahatlama, ABD\u2019nin \u00f6zellikle teknoloji alan\u0131nda bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi, \u00c7in i\u00e7in bir kazan\u0131m olur. Ancak bu anla\u015fman\u0131n haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, anla\u015fman\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131ndan bir hafta \u00f6nce, \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6nde gelen yapay zeka \u015firketleri de dahil 28 \u015firketin, ABD\u2019li ki\u015fi ve kurulu\u015flardan \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmet temin etmelerini engelleyen kara listeye al\u0131nmas\u0131, bu alandaki kazan\u0131m\u0131n da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Konu ile ilgili \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131da de\u011finildi\u011fi gibi, anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, \u00c7in taraf\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131 kendisi i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fcler aras\u0131nda en iyi olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor, anla\u015fman\u0131n esas kazan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 onun se\u00e7ilme sans\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmek olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"abd-cin-catismasinda-ateskes","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"ABD-\u00c7in \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda ate\u015fkes","meta_description":"Fatih Oktay","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1055,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21128,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21029,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"ABD-\u00c7in \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda ate\u015fkes","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Fatih Oktay<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00f6rt hafta \u00f6nce ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ile ilgili yaz\u0131da, ABD se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ge\u00e7ici ate\u015fkes sa\u011flayacak bir anla\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirmesini yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Geli\u015fmeler bu y\u00f6nde oldu. Bu ay\u0131n 15\u2019inde Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan gelen temkinli do\u011frulamalardan anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, iki taraf anla\u015fma konusunda anla\u015fm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor ve beklenmedik bir geli\u015fme olmazsa kas\u0131m ortalar\u0131nda \u015eili\u2019deki Asya Pasifik Ekonomi Konferans\u0131\u2019nda iki \u00fclkenin liderleri bir anla\u015fma imzalayacaklar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Anla\u015fma ko\u015fullar\u0131 hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmemi\u015fse de g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ABD taraf\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019e verdi\u011fi, ekim ay\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in 250 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat mal\u0131 \u00fczerindeki \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 25 olan ek verginin 5 puan daha art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 ve aral\u0131k ortas\u0131nda 160 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat mal\u0131na y\u00fczde 15 ek vergi getirilmemesi ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olacak. Buna belki mevcut ek vergilerde sembolik bir azalma da eklenebilir. \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n vereceklerinin ba\u015f\u0131nda, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131llarda 20 milyar dolar dolay\u0131nda seyreden, ancak ticaret \u00e7eki\u015fmeleri nedeniyle 10 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olan ABD\u2019den tar\u0131m mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131n\u0131n 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde 40-50 milyar dolar dolay\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131 geliyor. Listeye, \u00c7in finansal piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019li \u015firketlere daha \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, fikri m\u00fclkiyet haklar\u0131n\u0131n daha iyi korunmas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00f6viz kuru politikalar\u0131 ile ilgili ba\u015fka maddeler de eklenecek g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EK VERG\u0130LER T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130YE YANSIDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD taraf\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok yorumcu Trump y\u00f6netimini, ABD i\u00e7in esas sorun olan \u00c7in\u2019in devlet destekli ekonomik-teknolojik geli\u015fme modeli ile ilgili kazan\u0131mlar olmadan \u00c7in\u2019in yakas\u0131n\u0131 b\u0131rakan, \u00c7in\u2019in kazan\u00e7l\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir anla\u015fma yapmakla su\u00e7lamaktaysa da, durum hi\u00e7 \u00f6yle de\u011fil. IMF b\u00fcnyesinde yap\u0131lanlar da dahil bir\u00e7ok \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, ABD\u2019nin \u015fimdiye kadar uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ek vergilerin neredeyse b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ABD\u2019li sanayici ve t\u00fcketicilere yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ek vergi getirilmesi planlananlar, ABD\u2019nin ithalat\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 75 ve \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu mallar. Bunlara getirilen ek vergi, k\u0131sa ve orta d\u00f6nemde ba\u015fka kaynaklar bulunmas\u0131 olanaks\u0131z olaca\u011f\u0131ndan t\u00fcm\u00fcyle ABD taraf\u0131na, \u00f6zellikle de t\u00fcketicilere yans\u0131yacak, se\u00e7men tercihlerini etkileyebilecekti. Yani bu anla\u015fmayla Trump y\u00f6netimi hem zaten kendisine zarar verecek ek vergileri geri ad\u0131m atm\u0131\u015f olmadan uygulamaya koymama \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 elde ediyor, hem de k\u0131rsal y\u00f6re se\u00e7menlerini memnun edecek y\u00fckl\u00fc tar\u0131m mal\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir dizi kazan\u0131m sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00c7\u0130N\u2019\u0130N AVANTAJI SINIRLI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in taraf\u0131 bu anla\u015fmadan ne sa\u011fl\u0131yor? Pek bir \u015fey sa\u011fl\u0131yor g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Herkes gibi \u00c7in taraf\u0131 da, ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, bu anla\u015fman\u0131n en iyi ihtimalle se\u00e7im sonras\u0131na kadar ge\u00e7ici bir ate\u015fkes sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyor olsa gerek. Ge\u00e7ici de olsa ABD ile ili\u015fkilerde bir rahatlama, ABD\u2019nin \u00f6zellikle teknoloji alan\u0131nda bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi, \u00c7in i\u00e7in bir kazan\u0131m olur. Ancak bu anla\u015fman\u0131n haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, anla\u015fman\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131ndan bir hafta \u00f6nce, \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6nde gelen yapay zeka \u015firketleri de dahil 28 \u015firketin, ABD\u2019li ki\u015fi ve kurulu\u015flardan \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmet temin etmelerini engelleyen kara listeye al\u0131nmas\u0131, bu alandaki kazan\u0131m\u0131n da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Konu ile ilgili \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131da de\u011finildi\u011fi gibi, anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, \u00c7in taraf\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131 kendisi i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fcler aras\u0131nda en iyi olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor, anla\u015fman\u0131n esas kazan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 onun se\u00e7ilme sans\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmek olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"abd-cin-catismasinda-ateskes","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"ABD-\u00c7in \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda ate\u015fkes","meta_description":"Fatih Oktay","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1055,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}