{"status":true,"post":{"id":23673,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:31:54","created_at":"2020-11-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:31:54.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23673,"is_featured":0,"title":"3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimi verilerinin 3. \u00e7eyrekte sanayi \u00fcretiminde y\u00fczde 7.77\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etmesi sonras\u0131nda, son 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k sanayi \u00fcretimi-GSYH reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 korelasyonundan hareketle hesap etti\u011fimiz 3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 5.5-6.1 olarak \u015fekilleniyor. En k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan tar\u0131m, in\u015faat, ticaret, ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve di\u011fer hizmet sekt\u00f6rlerinde beklenenden k\u00f6t\u00fc olas\u0131 bir performans senaryosu, 3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.88 d\u00fczeyinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekerken; sanayi \u00fcretimi d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki di\u011fer \u00f6nc\u00fc sekt\u00f6rlerin performans\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6receli olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesi halinde 3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 7.29 bile a\u00e7\u0131klanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>POZ\u0130T\u0130F B\u00dcY\u00dcME OLASILI\u011eI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bununla birlikte 30 Kas\u0131m\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak bu y\u0131l\u0131n 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fine dair GSYH verilerinde, reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durum, 3 \u00e7eyrek sonunda, 2. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde -9.91 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, ekonomik daralman\u0131n, 1. \u00e7eyrekte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olan y\u00fczde 4.4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve 3. \u00e7eyrekteki olas\u0131 y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile dengelendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. 9 ay\u0131n sonunda s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde de yine s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile 2020\u2019yi bitirmemiz halinde, t\u00fcm 2020\u2019yi y\u00fczde -0.5 ile 0.3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ile kapatma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n hayli g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda, G20 \u00fclkeleri grubunda, vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisini a\u011f\u0131r bir \u015fekilde sarst\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te, nas\u0131l oldu\u011fu tart\u0131\u015fma <\/span><span class=\"large\">konusu olmakla birlikte \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fczde 1.8 gibi pozitif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile y\u0131l\u0131 kapatma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n dillendirildi\u011fi bir ortamda, T\u00fcrkiye, Endonezya ve G\u00fcney Kore ile birlikte, 2020 gibi tarihi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zorlu bir y\u0131l\u0131 pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapatma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda say\u0131l\u0131yor. OECD\u2019nin aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131 2020\u2019nin son tahmin raporu ve IMF ile D\u00fcnya Bakas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2021\u2019in ocak ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 raporlarda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2020 ve 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir kez daha revizyon g\u00f6rmemiz \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmamal\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00d6NCE KEND\u0130M\u0130ZE G\u00dcVENECE\u011e\u0130Z<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G20 ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u00fczde -4.1, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin y\u00fczde -4.4\/-4.5, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin y\u00fczde -7.9, ABD\u2019nin y\u00fczde -3.8, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde -5.8, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde -10.2 beklendi\u011fi bir ortamda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n radar\u0131nda. Bunu, 405 milyar m3 ile ba\u015flay\u0131p, devam edecek hidrokarbon ke\u015fifleriyle, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n Kafkasya zaferiyle, Kuzey K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019taki \u015fahlan\u0131\u015fla, Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de-ki yeni f\u0131rsatlarla ve h\u0131zland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 2. nesil ekonomi ve hukuk reformlar\u0131yla birle\u015ftirdi\u011fi-mizde, yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin her zaman \u2018parlak\u2019 bir hikayesi oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fini bir kez daha uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne koymu\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131z. Yeter ki, son 18 y\u0131lda per\u00e7inlenen \u2018\u00f6nce kendimize g\u00fcvenece\u011fiz ve inanaca\u011f\u0131z\u2019 \u015fiar\u0131ndan sapmayal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u2018ENFLASYON\u2019 KILIFIYLA \u2018FA\u0130Z\u2019 S\u0130MSARLI\u011eI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">TCMB\u2019nin 475 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f karar\u0131n\u0131n daha m\u00fcrekkebi kurumadan, bir grup \u2018piyasa\u2019 ekonomisti, aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndaki TCMB Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131n-da, \u2018reel faiz\u2019 getirisini 1\/2 puan daha yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n gerekli oldu\u011funu dillendirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bunun ad\u0131, \u2018enflasyon k\u0131l\u0131f\u0131yla faiz simsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019d\u0131r. Bak\u0131yorum, ekonomi politikalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tercih ve uygulamada h\u00fck\u00fcmetle ayr\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte oldu\u011funu net olarak ortaya koyan iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar dahi kendini \u2018ekonomist\u2019 olarak lanse eden bu arkada\u015flar\u0131n \u2018carry trade\u2019e oynad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyorlar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, bu \u2018ekonomistler\u2019in de\u011firmenine su ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131 k\u00fcresel spek\u00fclat\u00f6rler ve uluslararas\u0131 finans kurumlar\u0131, TCMB\u2019nin TL cinsinden hazine ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden \u2018carry trade\u2019, yani ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerdeki tasarruflar\u0131n TL tahvillere y\u00f6nelmesini sa\u011flayacak strateji yerine, bilin\u00e7li olarak d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden para kazanmaya (FX trade) odakl\u0131 bir strateji y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyorlar. \u00d6yle ki, sisteme s\u00fcrekli yeni oyuncu \u00e7ekerek, \u2018kolay\u2019 ve \u2018k\u00e2rl\u0131\u2019 para kazanmaya odakl\u0131 bir operasyon. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla TCMB\u2019yi faiz art\u0131rmaya zorlayarak, TL\u2019nin ne kadar de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flarlarsa o kadar daha fazla yabanc\u0131 ve yerli oyuncuyu \u2018FX trade\u2019e davet edip, bu i\u015ften sa\u011flam para kazan\u0131yorlar. Ve bu \u2018ekonomistler\u2019, \u2018enflasyon \u00f6ncelik\u2019 diyorlar; \u2018enflasyonun belini k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in faizler mutlaka artmal\u0131\u2019 diyorlar. Peki, T\u00fcrkiye \u2018talep enflasyonu\u2019 bask\u0131s\u0131nda m\u0131, sorguluyor muyuz? Hay\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, 2017\u2019den itibaren \u015fiddeti artan bir tempoda \u2018maliyet enflasyonu\u2019 bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Peki, \u2018faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131\u2019 maliyet enflasyo-nuna derman olur mu? Kesinlikle hay\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"3-ceyrek-buyume-yuzde-56-61","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1108,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23772,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23673,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretimi verilerinin 3. \u00e7eyrekte sanayi \u00fcretiminde y\u00fczde 7.77\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etmesi sonras\u0131nda, son 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k sanayi \u00fcretimi-GSYH reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 korelasyonundan hareketle hesap etti\u011fimiz 3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 5.5-6.1 olarak \u015fekilleniyor. En k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan tar\u0131m, in\u015faat, ticaret, ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve di\u011fer hizmet sekt\u00f6rlerinde beklenenden k\u00f6t\u00fc olas\u0131 bir performans senaryosu, 3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.88 d\u00fczeyinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekerken; sanayi \u00fcretimi d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki di\u011fer \u00f6nc\u00fc sekt\u00f6rlerin performans\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6receli olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesi halinde 3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 7.29 bile a\u00e7\u0131klanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>POZ\u0130T\u0130F B\u00dcY\u00dcME OLASILI\u011eI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bununla birlikte 30 Kas\u0131m\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak bu y\u0131l\u0131n 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fine dair GSYH verilerinde, reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durum, 3 \u00e7eyrek sonunda, 2. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde -9.91 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, ekonomik daralman\u0131n, 1. \u00e7eyrekte ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olan y\u00fczde 4.4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve 3. \u00e7eyrekteki olas\u0131 y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile dengelendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. 9 ay\u0131n sonunda s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde de yine s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile 2020\u2019yi bitirmemiz halinde, t\u00fcm 2020\u2019yi y\u00fczde -0.5 ile 0.3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ile kapatma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n hayli g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda, G20 \u00fclkeleri grubunda, vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisini a\u011f\u0131r bir \u015fekilde sarst\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te, nas\u0131l oldu\u011fu tart\u0131\u015fma <\/span><span class=\"large\">konusu olmakla birlikte \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fczde 1.8 gibi pozitif bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile y\u0131l\u0131 kapatma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n dillendirildi\u011fi bir ortamda, T\u00fcrkiye, Endonezya ve G\u00fcney Kore ile birlikte, 2020 gibi tarihi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zorlu bir y\u0131l\u0131 pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapatma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda say\u0131l\u0131yor. OECD\u2019nin aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131 2020\u2019nin son tahmin raporu ve IMF ile D\u00fcnya Bakas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2021\u2019in ocak ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 raporlarda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2020 ve 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir kez daha revizyon g\u00f6rmemiz \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmamal\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00d6NCE KEND\u0130M\u0130ZE G\u00dcVENECE\u011e\u0130Z<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G20 ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u00fczde -4.1, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin y\u00fczde -4.4\/-4.5, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin y\u00fczde -7.9, ABD\u2019nin y\u00fczde -3.8, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde -5.8, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde -10.2 beklendi\u011fi bir ortamda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7 ku\u015fkusuz uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n radar\u0131nda. Bunu, 405 milyar m3 ile ba\u015flay\u0131p, devam edecek hidrokarbon ke\u015fifleriyle, Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n Kafkasya zaferiyle, Kuzey K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019taki \u015fahlan\u0131\u015fla, Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de-ki yeni f\u0131rsatlarla ve h\u0131zland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 2. nesil ekonomi ve hukuk reformlar\u0131yla birle\u015ftirdi\u011fi-mizde, yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin her zaman \u2018parlak\u2019 bir hikayesi oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fini bir kez daha uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne koymu\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131z. Yeter ki, son 18 y\u0131lda per\u00e7inlenen \u2018\u00f6nce kendimize g\u00fcvenece\u011fiz ve inanaca\u011f\u0131z\u2019 \u015fiar\u0131ndan sapmayal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u2018ENFLASYON\u2019 KILIFIYLA \u2018FA\u0130Z\u2019 S\u0130MSARLI\u011eI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">TCMB\u2019nin 475 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f karar\u0131n\u0131n daha m\u00fcrekkebi kurumadan, bir grup \u2018piyasa\u2019 ekonomisti, aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndaki TCMB Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131n-da, \u2018reel faiz\u2019 getirisini 1\/2 puan daha yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n gerekli oldu\u011funu dillendirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bunun ad\u0131, \u2018enflasyon k\u0131l\u0131f\u0131yla faiz simsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019d\u0131r. Bak\u0131yorum, ekonomi politikalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tercih ve uygulamada h\u00fck\u00fcmetle ayr\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte oldu\u011funu net olarak ortaya koyan iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar dahi kendini \u2018ekonomist\u2019 olarak lanse eden bu arkada\u015flar\u0131n \u2018carry trade\u2019e oynad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyorlar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, bu \u2018ekonomistler\u2019in de\u011firmenine su ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131 k\u00fcresel spek\u00fclat\u00f6rler ve uluslararas\u0131 finans kurumlar\u0131, TCMB\u2019nin TL cinsinden hazine ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden \u2018carry trade\u2019, yani ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerdeki tasarruflar\u0131n TL tahvillere y\u00f6nelmesini sa\u011flayacak strateji yerine, bilin\u00e7li olarak d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden para kazanmaya (FX trade) odakl\u0131 bir strateji y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyorlar. \u00d6yle ki, sisteme s\u00fcrekli yeni oyuncu \u00e7ekerek, \u2018kolay\u2019 ve \u2018k\u00e2rl\u0131\u2019 para kazanmaya odakl\u0131 bir operasyon. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla TCMB\u2019yi faiz art\u0131rmaya zorlayarak, TL\u2019nin ne kadar de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flarlarsa o kadar daha fazla yabanc\u0131 ve yerli oyuncuyu \u2018FX trade\u2019e davet edip, bu i\u015ften sa\u011flam para kazan\u0131yorlar. Ve bu \u2018ekonomistler\u2019, \u2018enflasyon \u00f6ncelik\u2019 diyorlar; \u2018enflasyonun belini k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in faizler mutlaka artmal\u0131\u2019 diyorlar. Peki, T\u00fcrkiye \u2018talep enflasyonu\u2019 bask\u0131s\u0131nda m\u0131, sorguluyor muyuz? Hay\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, 2017\u2019den itibaren \u015fiddeti artan bir tempoda \u2018maliyet enflasyonu\u2019 bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Peki, \u2018faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131\u2019 maliyet enflasyo-nuna derman olur mu? Kesinlikle hay\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"3-ceyrek-buyume-yuzde-56-61","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"3. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5.6-6.1","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1108,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}