{"status":true,"post":{"id":37429,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-03-06 13:29:00","created_at":"2023-03-06T10:29:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-03-06T10:29:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":37429,"is_featured":0,"title":"2022 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyre\u011fi GSYH geli\u015fimi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ulusal Hesaplar Sistemi\u2019nde tahmin edilen temel b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerin en \u00f6nemlisi ve odak noktas\u0131\u00a0Gayrisafi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019d\u0131r (GSYH). GSYH, bir \u00fclkedeki belirli bir d\u00f6nemde \u00fcretilen mal ve hizmetlerden dolay\u0131 olu\u015fan katma de\u011fere ili\u015fkin standart bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u00fcr. \u00d6nemi nedeniyle bu sefer GSYH verilerini de\u011ferlendirece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dcretim y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re d\u00f6rt d\u00f6nem toplam\u0131yla elde edilen y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH, zincirlenmi\u015f hacim endeksi olarak (2009=100), 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.6 artt\u0131. Beklentiler y\u00fczde 5 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve hatta baz\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar genelde yapt\u0131klar\u0131 gibi y\u00fczde 2\u2019lerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131p sonra bu oran\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama tarihi yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a yukar\u0131 \u00e7ektiler. B\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir kavramd\u0131r ve sermayeyi m\u0131knat\u0131s gibi \u00e7eker. O y\u00fczden de yabanc\u0131 kurulu\u015flar her zaman \u00fclkemiz b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 karamsar yakla\u015f\u0131mla a\u00e7\u0131klar, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ise genelde onlar\u0131n tahmininin \u00fczerinde olur. Bu durum, ekonomik veri analizinin ne kadar objektif yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusundaki kayg\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da ortaya koyuyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re \u00fcretim y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re cari fiyatlarla GSYH y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 107 artt\u0131. Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 176,589 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

B\u00dcY\u00dcMEN\u0130N \u00d6NC\u00dc SEKT\u00d6RLER\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme lideri y\u00fczde 21.8 art\u0131\u015f ile finans ve sigorta faaliyetleridir. Onu y\u00fczde 11.7 ile hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc takip etti. \u00d6zellikle turizm sezonunun \u00e7ok iyi gitmesinin meyveleri al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn sadece y\u00fczde 3.3 artmas\u0131, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ise y\u00fczde 8.4 daralmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. Burada h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olumsuz etkilerini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Maalesef 6 \u015eubat depremiyle 11 ilimizde ya\u015fanan y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n afeti, zaten daha yava\u015f ge\u00e7mesi beklenen 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda i\u015fleri daha da zora soktu. Ekonominin y\u00fczde 10\u2019undan fazlas\u0131na sahip b\u00f6lge, tar\u0131mda y\u00fczde 15 s\u00f6z sahibidir. \u015eimdi bir yandan deprem yaralar\u0131 sar\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, di\u011fer yandan normal hayata d\u00f6n\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in \u00e7aba sarf ediliyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

SIRA \u00dcRET\u0130M BO\u015eLUKLARINI DOLDURMADA<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Deprem nedeniyle \u00f6nemli n\u00fcfus hareketleri olacakt\u0131r. Bu hareketler de ister istemez b\u00f6lgesel \u00f6nemli etkiler olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. Bir yandan b\u00f6lgesel talebi art\u0131r\u0131rken, g\u00f6\u00e7 alan b\u00f6lgelerde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r. Ancak \u00fclke geneline bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fczde 4 civar\u0131 beklenen 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131n\u0131n deprem nedeniyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde revize edilmesi s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. Global ekonomide \u00f6zellikle \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 gelen pozitif haberler d\u0131\u015f talepte canlanmaya yol a\u00e7abilirse, ihracat ile belki bir miktar telafi edebiliriz.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u015eimdi s\u0131ra \u00fcretimde olu\u015fan bo\u015fluklar\u0131n h\u0131zla doldurulmas\u0131na geldi. Hayat normale d\u00f6nd\u00fck\u00e7e s\u00fcre\u00e7 de h\u0131zlanacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"2022-yili-son-ceyregi-gsyh-gelisimi","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":4236,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":37555,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":37429,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2022 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyre\u011fi GSYH geli\u015fimi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":"

<\/span><\/strong>
<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ulusal Hesaplar Sistemi\u2019nde tahmin edilen temel b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerin en \u00f6nemlisi ve odak noktas\u0131\u00a0Gayrisafi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019d\u0131r (GSYH). GSYH, bir \u00fclkedeki belirli bir d\u00f6nemde \u00fcretilen mal ve hizmetlerden dolay\u0131 olu\u015fan katma de\u011fere ili\u015fkin standart bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u00fcr. \u00d6nemi nedeniyle bu sefer GSYH verilerini de\u011ferlendirece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00dcretim y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re d\u00f6rt d\u00f6nem toplam\u0131yla elde edilen y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH, zincirlenmi\u015f hacim endeksi olarak (2009=100), 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.6 artt\u0131. Beklentiler y\u00fczde 5 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve hatta baz\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar genelde yapt\u0131klar\u0131 gibi y\u00fczde 2\u2019lerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131p sonra bu oran\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama tarihi yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a yukar\u0131 \u00e7ektiler. B\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir kavramd\u0131r ve sermayeyi m\u0131knat\u0131s gibi \u00e7eker. O y\u00fczden de yabanc\u0131 kurulu\u015flar her zaman \u00fclkemiz b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 karamsar yakla\u015f\u0131mla a\u00e7\u0131klar, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ise genelde onlar\u0131n tahmininin \u00fczerinde olur. Bu durum, ekonomik veri analizinin ne kadar objektif yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusundaki kayg\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da ortaya koyuyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re \u00fcretim y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re cari fiyatlarla GSYH y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 107 artt\u0131. Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 176,589 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

B\u00dcY\u00dcMEN\u0130N \u00d6NC\u00dc SEKT\u00d6RLER\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme lideri y\u00fczde 21.8 art\u0131\u015f ile finans ve sigorta faaliyetleridir. Onu y\u00fczde 11.7 ile hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc takip etti. \u00d6zellikle turizm sezonunun \u00e7ok iyi gitmesinin meyveleri al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn sadece y\u00fczde 3.3 artmas\u0131, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ise y\u00fczde 8.4 daralmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekicidir. Burada h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olumsuz etkilerini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Maalesef 6 \u015eubat depremiyle 11 ilimizde ya\u015fanan y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n afeti, zaten daha yava\u015f ge\u00e7mesi beklenen 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda i\u015fleri daha da zora soktu. Ekonominin y\u00fczde 10\u2019undan fazlas\u0131na sahip b\u00f6lge, tar\u0131mda y\u00fczde 15 s\u00f6z sahibidir. \u015eimdi bir yandan deprem yaralar\u0131 sar\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, di\u011fer yandan normal hayata d\u00f6n\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in \u00e7aba sarf ediliyor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

SIRA \u00dcRET\u0130M BO\u015eLUKLARINI DOLDURMADA<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Deprem nedeniyle \u00f6nemli n\u00fcfus hareketleri olacakt\u0131r. Bu hareketler de ister istemez b\u00f6lgesel \u00f6nemli etkiler olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. Bir yandan b\u00f6lgesel talebi art\u0131r\u0131rken, g\u00f6\u00e7 alan b\u00f6lgelerde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r. Ancak \u00fclke geneline bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fczde 4 civar\u0131 beklenen 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131n\u0131n deprem nedeniyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde revize edilmesi s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. Global ekonomide \u00f6zellikle \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 gelen pozitif haberler d\u0131\u015f talepte canlanmaya yol a\u00e7abilirse, ihracat ile belki bir miktar telafi edebiliriz.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u015eimdi s\u0131ra \u00fcretimde olu\u015fan bo\u015fluklar\u0131n h\u0131zla doldurulmas\u0131na geldi. Hayat normale d\u00f6nd\u00fck\u00e7e s\u00fcre\u00e7 de h\u0131zlanacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"2022-yili-son-ceyregi-gsyh-gelisimi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":4236,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}