{"status":true,"post":{"id":21281,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:05:58","created_at":"2019-12-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:05:58.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21281,"is_featured":0,"title":"2020\u2019de \u2018sava\u015flar\u2019 ve \u2018gerginlikler\u2019 s\u00fcrecek","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD) gibi \u00f6nde gelen uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar, 2020\u2019de de \u2018ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, \u2018k\u00fcresel iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi tehdidi\u2019nin, \u2018y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 teknolojik geli\u015fmeler\u2019in ve \u2018b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131nda hegemonya sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi, ticareti, \u00fcretimi, istihdam\u0131 ve 8 milyar\u0131 a\u015fan d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayat\u0131n\u0131 etkileyecek d\u00f6rt b\u00fcy\u00fck ve uzun soluklu riskin tehdit ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>K\u00dcRESEL ADALETS\u0130ZL\u0130K<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n 2020\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik beklentilerine dayal\u0131 raporlar\u0131n sat\u0131r aralar\u0131nda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndan birini de \u2018k\u00fcresel adaletsizlik\u2019 konusu olu\u015fturuyor. K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte servetin, beslenme imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n, suyun da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ve kullan\u0131m\u0131; do\u011fal kaynaklara e\u015fit \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ula\u015fma noktas\u0131nda artan bir \u2018dengesizlik\u2019 ve \u2018adaletsizlik\u2019 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu \u2018e\u015fitsizlik\u2019 ve \u2018adaletsizlik\u2019e sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerini, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi sorununu, ba\u015fta ABD y\u00f6netimi, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerin okyanuslar\u0131, atmosferi, topra\u011f\u0131 en \u00e7ok kirletenlerin duyars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ekleyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2020, t\u00fcm bu \u2018adaletsizlik\u2019 ve \u2018e\u015fitsizlik\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131, kur sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131, dev \u015firketlerin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckleri yutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 kartelle\u015fmeleri, Brexit, AB ve NATO\u2019nun gelece\u011fini, siber g\u00fcvenlik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte t\u00fcketicilerin keyifsizli\u011fini, reel sekt\u00f6rdeki k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k sorununu ve d\u00fcnya genelinde bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin bitmek t\u00fckenmek bilmeyen h\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fimiz bir y\u0131l olacak. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu itibariyle 260 trilyon dolara yakla\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen ve k\u00fcresel<\/span><span class=\"large\">milli gelirinin \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131na ula\u015fan \u2018k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 sarmal\u0131\u2019nda \u00f6ncelikli g\u00fcndem maddelerinden biri olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EMT\u0130A F\u0130YATLARINA D\u0130KKAT<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomistleri, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerinin k\u00fcresel sistemdeki sorunlar\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli kamu maliyesi, yani b\u00fct\u00e7e tedbirleri ve geni\u015fletici para politikalar\u0131 ile yani g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmaya y\u00f6nelik ge\u00e7ici tedbirlerle \u00f6telemeye kalkmalar\u0131 halinde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n on y\u0131llar boyunca daha b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesinden endi\u015fe duyuyor. 2020 ile ilgili bir ba\u015fka endi\u015fe, k\u00fcresel ticaret ve kur sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ne zaman son bulaca\u011f\u0131na dair belirsizli\u011fin sebep oldu\u011fu endi\u015feye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn de aral\u0131ks\u0131z bozulmas\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen, 2019 riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131n en \u00e7ok kazand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131llardan biri olarak tarihe ge\u00e7meye aday.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yani, k\u00fcresel finans sistemi profesyonelleri, buzda\u011f\u0131na \u00e7arparak batan Titanik\u2019te son dakikaya kadar m\u00fczik \u00e7alan orkestra gibi kurumsal ve bireysel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131ma davet etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. 2020 k\u00fcresel emtia, bilhassa petrol ve alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkatle takip etmemiz gereken bir y\u0131l olacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>AB T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019YE YAKINLA\u015eACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2020\u2019den ba\u015flayarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda giderek t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131na \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel ticaret, enerji ve ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131 sava\u015flar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye ile AB aras\u0131nda yeni bir yak\u0131nla\u015fman\u0131n, i\u015fbirli\u011fi aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n da tetikleyicisi olacak. AB, T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerinde bilhassa son 8 y\u0131l\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir bocalamayla ge\u00e7irdi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Almanya \u015eans\u00f6lyesi Merkel\u2019in, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin vazge\u00e7ilmez \u2018\u00f6zg\u00fcl a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 stratejik \u00f6neme ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, T\u00fcrkiye-AB ili\u015fkilerini belirli bir zeminde tutma, her iki taraf\u0131n da yap\u0131c\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atabilecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde birbirinden uzakla\u015fmamas\u0131 ad\u0131na ortaya koydu\u011fu \u00e7abalar, bilhassa Fransa\u2019n\u0131n iki sorunlu Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Sarkozy ve Macron d\u00f6nemlerinde yeterince desteklenmedi, desteklenmiyor. Ho\u015f, Merkel\u2019in bu s\u00fcre\u00e7teki \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n Alman siyasetinde de zaman zaman destek bulmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemliyoruz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB\u2019nin kanaat \u00f6nderleri i\u00e7erisinde T\u00fcrkiye ile ekonomi, ticaret ve g\u00fcvenlik gibi kritik \u00f6nemdeki ba\u015fl\u0131klarda detayland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f i\u015fbirliklerinin Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn\u00fc ve gelece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlama y\u00f6nelik ciddi bir fark\u0131ndal\u0131k s\u00f6z konusu. Ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfusu, Asya ve ABD ile ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rekabet sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Rusya gibi \u2018simetrik\u2019 ve ter\u00f6r gibi \u2018asimetrik\u2019 tehditlere y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131, \u2018gelece\u011fin\u2019 Avrupa\u2019s\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin vazge\u00e7ilmezli\u011fini per\u00e7inliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle AB i\u00e7erisindeki \u2018\u00e7\u0131ban\u2019 ba\u015f\u0131, salt \u2018sorun\u2019 ve \u2018\u015fikayet\u2019 \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkelerin \u2018\u015f\u0131mar\u0131klar\u0131\u2019na boyun e\u011ferek veya taktiksel bir hatayla \u2018prim vererek\u2019, AB\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye ile tam \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakere ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 dondurmas\u0131, sonradan \u00e7ok pi\u015fman olacaklar\u0131 kay\u0131plara y\u00f6nelik riski de art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB\u2019ye \u00f6zg\u00fc pek \u00e7ok sorunla bo\u011fu\u015fan Almanya\u2019da ise 1 Mart 2020\u2019de y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek Nitelikli \u0130\u015f\u00e7i G\u00f6\u00e7 Yasas\u0131, AB \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerden kalifiye i\u015f\u00e7ilerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acak. Almanya\u2019da h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda di\u011fer AB \u00fclkelerinden yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.5 milyon insan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da Ba\u015fbakan Merkel, bunun tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, nitelikli i\u015f\u00e7i i\u00e7in AB d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00fclkelere de \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulunmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtiyor. Merkel, bundan 15 y\u0131l \u00f6nce sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n 5 milyon i\u015fsiz insan iken, bug\u00fcn \u2018nereden nitelikli i\u015f\u00e7i bulabilirim\u2019e d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Gelece\u011fin Avrupas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011finin, k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim ve ticaretteki iddias\u0131n\u0131n \u2018anahtar\u2019 \u00fclkesi T\u00fcrkiye. 2020 ve \u00f6tesinde T\u00fcrkiye-AB yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131nda yeni bir d\u00f6neme birlikte \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2020de-savaslar-ve-gerginlikler-surecek","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2020\u2019de \u2018sava\u015flar\u2019 ve \u2018gerginlikler\u2019 s\u00fcrecek","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":665,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21380,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21281,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2020\u2019de \u2018sava\u015flar\u2019 ve \u2018gerginlikler\u2019 s\u00fcrecek","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD) gibi \u00f6nde gelen uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar, 2020\u2019de de \u2018ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, \u2018k\u00fcresel iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi tehdidi\u2019nin, \u2018y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 teknolojik geli\u015fmeler\u2019in ve \u2018b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131nda hegemonya sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi, ticareti, \u00fcretimi, istihdam\u0131 ve 8 milyar\u0131 a\u015fan d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayat\u0131n\u0131 etkileyecek d\u00f6rt b\u00fcy\u00fck ve uzun soluklu riskin tehdit ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>K\u00dcRESEL ADALETS\u0130ZL\u0130K<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n 2020\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik beklentilerine dayal\u0131 raporlar\u0131n sat\u0131r aralar\u0131nda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndan birini de \u2018k\u00fcresel adaletsizlik\u2019 konusu olu\u015fturuyor. K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte servetin, beslenme imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n, suyun da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ve kullan\u0131m\u0131; do\u011fal kaynaklara e\u015fit \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ula\u015fma noktas\u0131nda artan bir \u2018dengesizlik\u2019 ve \u2018adaletsizlik\u2019 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu \u2018e\u015fitsizlik\u2019 ve \u2018adaletsizlik\u2019e sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerini, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi sorununu, ba\u015fta ABD y\u00f6netimi, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerin okyanuslar\u0131, atmosferi, topra\u011f\u0131 en \u00e7ok kirletenlerin duyars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ekleyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2020, t\u00fcm bu \u2018adaletsizlik\u2019 ve \u2018e\u015fitsizlik\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131, kur sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131, dev \u015firketlerin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckleri yutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 kartelle\u015fmeleri, Brexit, AB ve NATO\u2019nun gelece\u011fini, siber g\u00fcvenlik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte t\u00fcketicilerin keyifsizli\u011fini, reel sekt\u00f6rdeki k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k sorununu ve d\u00fcnya genelinde bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin bitmek t\u00fckenmek bilmeyen h\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fimiz bir y\u0131l olacak. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu itibariyle 260 trilyon dolara yakla\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen ve k\u00fcresel<\/span><span class=\"large\">milli gelirinin \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131na ula\u015fan \u2018k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 sarmal\u0131\u2019nda \u00f6ncelikli g\u00fcndem maddelerinden biri olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EMT\u0130A F\u0130YATLARINA D\u0130KKAT<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomistleri, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerinin k\u00fcresel sistemdeki sorunlar\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli kamu maliyesi, yani b\u00fct\u00e7e tedbirleri ve geni\u015fletici para politikalar\u0131 ile yani g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmaya y\u00f6nelik ge\u00e7ici tedbirlerle \u00f6telemeye kalkmalar\u0131 halinde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n on y\u0131llar boyunca daha b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesinden endi\u015fe duyuyor. 2020 ile ilgili bir ba\u015fka endi\u015fe, k\u00fcresel ticaret ve kur sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ne zaman son bulaca\u011f\u0131na dair belirsizli\u011fin sebep oldu\u011fu endi\u015feye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn de aral\u0131ks\u0131z bozulmas\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen, 2019 riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131n en \u00e7ok kazand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131llardan biri olarak tarihe ge\u00e7meye aday.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yani, k\u00fcresel finans sistemi profesyonelleri, buzda\u011f\u0131na \u00e7arparak batan Titanik\u2019te son dakikaya kadar m\u00fczik \u00e7alan orkestra gibi kurumsal ve bireysel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131ma davet etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. 2020 k\u00fcresel emtia, bilhassa petrol ve alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkatle takip etmemiz gereken bir y\u0131l olacak.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>AB T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019YE YAKINLA\u015eACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2020\u2019den ba\u015flayarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda giderek t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131na \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel ticaret, enerji ve ula\u015f\u0131m koridorlar\u0131 sava\u015flar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye ile AB aras\u0131nda yeni bir yak\u0131nla\u015fman\u0131n, i\u015fbirli\u011fi aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n da tetikleyicisi olacak. AB, T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerinde bilhassa son 8 y\u0131l\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir bocalamayla ge\u00e7irdi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Almanya \u015eans\u00f6lyesi Merkel\u2019in, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin vazge\u00e7ilmez \u2018\u00f6zg\u00fcl a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 stratejik \u00f6neme ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, T\u00fcrkiye-AB ili\u015fkilerini belirli bir zeminde tutma, her iki taraf\u0131n da yap\u0131c\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atabilecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde birbirinden uzakla\u015fmamas\u0131 ad\u0131na ortaya koydu\u011fu \u00e7abalar, bilhassa Fransa\u2019n\u0131n iki sorunlu Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Sarkozy ve Macron d\u00f6nemlerinde yeterince desteklenmedi, desteklenmiyor. Ho\u015f, Merkel\u2019in bu s\u00fcre\u00e7teki \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n Alman siyasetinde de zaman zaman destek bulmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemliyoruz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB\u2019nin kanaat \u00f6nderleri i\u00e7erisinde T\u00fcrkiye ile ekonomi, ticaret ve g\u00fcvenlik gibi kritik \u00f6nemdeki ba\u015fl\u0131klarda detayland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f i\u015fbirliklerinin Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn\u00fc ve gelece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlama y\u00f6nelik ciddi bir fark\u0131ndal\u0131k s\u00f6z konusu. Ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfusu, Asya ve ABD ile ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rekabet sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Rusya gibi \u2018simetrik\u2019 ve ter\u00f6r gibi \u2018asimetrik\u2019 tehditlere y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131, \u2018gelece\u011fin\u2019 Avrupa\u2019s\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin vazge\u00e7ilmezli\u011fini per\u00e7inliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle AB i\u00e7erisindeki \u2018\u00e7\u0131ban\u2019 ba\u015f\u0131, salt \u2018sorun\u2019 ve \u2018\u015fikayet\u2019 \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkelerin \u2018\u015f\u0131mar\u0131klar\u0131\u2019na boyun e\u011ferek veya taktiksel bir hatayla \u2018prim vererek\u2019, AB\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye ile tam \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakere ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 dondurmas\u0131, sonradan \u00e7ok pi\u015fman olacaklar\u0131 kay\u0131plara y\u00f6nelik riski de art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB\u2019ye \u00f6zg\u00fc pek \u00e7ok sorunla bo\u011fu\u015fan Almanya\u2019da ise 1 Mart 2020\u2019de y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek Nitelikli \u0130\u015f\u00e7i G\u00f6\u00e7 Yasas\u0131, AB \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerden kalifiye i\u015f\u00e7ilerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acak. Almanya\u2019da h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda di\u011fer AB \u00fclkelerinden yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.5 milyon insan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da Ba\u015fbakan Merkel, bunun tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, nitelikli i\u015f\u00e7i i\u00e7in AB d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00fclkelere de \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulunmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtiyor. Merkel, bundan 15 y\u0131l \u00f6nce sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n 5 milyon i\u015fsiz insan iken, bug\u00fcn \u2018nereden nitelikli i\u015f\u00e7i bulabilirim\u2019e d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Gelece\u011fin Avrupas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011finin, k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim ve ticaretteki iddias\u0131n\u0131n \u2018anahtar\u2019 \u00fclkesi T\u00fcrkiye. 2020 ve \u00f6tesinde T\u00fcrkiye-AB yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131nda yeni bir d\u00f6neme birlikte \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2020de-savaslar-ve-gerginlikler-surecek","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2020\u2019de \u2018sava\u015flar\u2019 ve \u2018gerginlikler\u2019 s\u00fcrecek","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":665,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}