{"status":true,"post":{"id":19757,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:39:39","created_at":"2019-01-13T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:39:39.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19757,"is_featured":0,"title":"2019\u2019un bagaj\u0131 hayli y\u00fckl\u00fc","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma g\u00fcn\u00fcne damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran geli\u015fme, \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 China Finance dergisinde, \u00c7in\u2019in GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 6.5\u2019in alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131 tespitiydi. ABD\u2019li \u015firketlerin, \u00c7in piyasas\u0131ndaki sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n daralaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcyle 2019 1. \u00e7eyrek sat\u0131\u015f ve kar beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmeleri, pek \u00e7ok geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para biriminde k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli \u00e7alkant\u0131ya sebep olan bir tablo olu\u015fturdu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ekonomi \u00e7evreleri ve finans piyasalar\u0131 2019 i\u00e7in her t\u00fcrl\u00fc k\u00f6t\u00fc habere an\u0131nda pozisyon almaya haz\u0131r. OPEC \u00fcyesi ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkeler \u00fcretimi k\u0131ssalar da, petrol talebindeki daralma beklentisinin daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan, fiyattaki zay\u0131flama devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde 2019 ham petrol fiyat tahminini 61 dolara \u00e7ekti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya, Katar gibi ekonomilere ciddi ihracat yapan bir \u00fclke oldu\u011funu dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, k\u00fcresel emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemenin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131 etkilememesi ad\u0131na, hedef pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmemizi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmam\u0131z gerekiyor. 2019, ba\u015fta ABD-\u00c7in ticaret sava\u015f\u0131, 250 trilyon dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7en k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 sorunu, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 tercihleri, Suriye \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fcyen k\u00fcresel-b\u00f6lgesel politik gerginlik ve belirsizlikler nedeniyle, \u2018bagaj\u0131 y\u00fckl\u00fc\u2019 bir y\u0131l.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir de, AB\u2019de Brexit, may\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki Avrupa Parlamentosu se\u00e7imleri, sorunlu \u0130talyan ekonomisi ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na yeni ba\u015fkan se\u00e7imini, AB ekonomileriyle ilgili resesyon riskini de katal\u0131m. Hindistan, Tayland, Arjantin ve G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019daki se\u00e7imleri de unutmayal\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, bu derece \u2018bagaj\u0131 y\u00fckl\u00fc\u2019 bir 2019 i\u00e7in, para, maliye ve direkt kontrol politikalar\u0131n\u0131, hayli ince ayarla, hayli \u00f6zenli ve b\u00fcy\u00fck bir dirayetle y\u00f6netmemiz gerekecek. Ekonomi y\u00f6netimimiz kararl\u0131l\u0131kla 2019\u2019un ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 etkili y\u00f6netip, 2019\u2019un ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ekonomiyi d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe \u00e7\u0131karmaya odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EKONOM\u0130Y\u0130 \u2018SIRTLAYAN\u2019 \u0130L \u0130STANBUL<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015-2017 d\u00f6nemini kapsayan veriler, \u00fclkenin milli gelirinin \u00fcretilmesinde, \u0130stanbul\u2019un tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczde 31.2\u2019lik bir pay\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Uluslararas\u0131 Rekabet Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Kurumu Derne\u011fi (URAK) \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda, uzunca bir s\u00fcredir hesap etti\u011fimiz \u2018\u0130ller Aras\u0131 Rekabet Endeksi\u2019, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00fcresel rekabet a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en rekabet\u00e7i ilinin 76.1 puanla \u0130stanbul oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu durumda, \u0130stanbul\u2019un tek ba\u015f\u0131na neredeyse T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin katma de\u011ferinin \u00fc\u00e7te birini \u00fcretiyor olmas\u0131na \u00e7ok mu \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmal\u0131y\u0131z?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu tablo, ayn\u0131 zamanda, \u0130stanbul\u2019un neden bu kadar n\u00fcfus \u00e7ekti\u011fini; asl\u0131nda 10 milyon seviyesinde olmas\u0131 gerekirken, \u0130stanbul\u2019un neden 15 milyonu a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. \u0130stanbul\u2019dan sonra \u0130ller Aras\u0131 Rekabet s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda Ankara 42 puan, \u0130zmir 31 puan, Bursa 29 puan ve Kocaeli 25.8 puanla s\u0131ralanmakta. \u0130stanbul tek ba\u015f\u0131na 970 milyar TL milli gelir \u00fcretirken, y\u00fczde 61.4\u2019\u00fc hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden. Ankara, 281 milyar lira 2. s\u0131rada geliyor ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin toplam milli gelirinde sadece y\u00fczde 9\u2019luk pay\u0131 var. 3. s\u0131radaki \u0130zmir 192 milyar TL ile sadece y\u00fczde 6.2\u2019lik paya sahip. \u0130stanbul, tek ba\u015f\u0131na neredeyse 3.5 Ankara, 5 \u0130zmir ediyor. Bursa, 128 milyar TL ile, Kocaeli ise 120 milyar TL ile hemen arkalar\u0131ndan geliyor. \u0130stanbul 7.5 Bursa, 8 Kocaeli ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu tablo, 2023, 2053 ve 2071 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019si i\u00e7in, \u0130stanbul\u2019un \u00fczerinden bu y\u00fck\u00fc al\u0131p, en az 10 ili daha katma de\u011fer \u00fcretiminde, milli gelir \u00fcretiminde \u00e7ok daha \u00fcst basamaklara ta\u015f\u0131mam\u0131z gerekti\u011fine, daha iddial\u0131 bir konuma getirmemiz gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na GSYH \u00fcretiminde ise, \u0130stanbul 18 bin dolar ile yine ilk s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken, bu sefer 17 bin 800 dolarla Kocaeli 2. s\u0131raya y\u00fckseliyor. Kocaeli n\u00fcfus ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6nemli bir \u00fcretkenlik ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Ankara, Tekirda\u011f, \u0130zmir, Bursa, Bilecik ve Yalova ise ilk ikiyi takip ediyor. \u0130llerin performans\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131racak projelere odaklanmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2019un-bagaji-hayli-yuklu","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2019\u2019un bagaj\u0131 hayli y\u00fckl\u00fc","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":80,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19856,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19757,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2019\u2019un bagaj\u0131 hayli y\u00fckl\u00fc","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma g\u00fcn\u00fcne damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran geli\u015fme, \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 China Finance dergisinde, \u00c7in\u2019in GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 6.5\u2019in alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131 tespitiydi. ABD\u2019li \u015firketlerin, \u00c7in piyasas\u0131ndaki sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n daralaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcyle 2019 1. \u00e7eyrek sat\u0131\u015f ve kar beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmeleri, pek \u00e7ok geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para biriminde k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli \u00e7alkant\u0131ya sebep olan bir tablo olu\u015fturdu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ekonomi \u00e7evreleri ve finans piyasalar\u0131 2019 i\u00e7in her t\u00fcrl\u00fc k\u00f6t\u00fc habere an\u0131nda pozisyon almaya haz\u0131r. OPEC \u00fcyesi ve \u00fcye olmayan \u00fclkeler \u00fcretimi k\u0131ssalar da, petrol talebindeki daralma beklentisinin daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan, fiyattaki zay\u0131flama devam ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde 2019 ham petrol fiyat tahminini 61 dolara \u00e7ekti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya, Katar gibi ekonomilere ciddi ihracat yapan bir \u00fclke oldu\u011funu dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, k\u00fcresel emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemenin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131 etkilememesi ad\u0131na, hedef pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmemizi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmam\u0131z gerekiyor. 2019, ba\u015fta ABD-\u00c7in ticaret sava\u015f\u0131, 250 trilyon dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7en k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 sorunu, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 tercihleri, Suriye \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fcyen k\u00fcresel-b\u00f6lgesel politik gerginlik ve belirsizlikler nedeniyle, \u2018bagaj\u0131 y\u00fckl\u00fc\u2019 bir y\u0131l.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir de, AB\u2019de Brexit, may\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki Avrupa Parlamentosu se\u00e7imleri, sorunlu \u0130talyan ekonomisi ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na yeni ba\u015fkan se\u00e7imini, AB ekonomileriyle ilgili resesyon riskini de katal\u0131m. Hindistan, Tayland, Arjantin ve G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019daki se\u00e7imleri de unutmayal\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, bu derece \u2018bagaj\u0131 y\u00fckl\u00fc\u2019 bir 2019 i\u00e7in, para, maliye ve direkt kontrol politikalar\u0131n\u0131, hayli ince ayarla, hayli \u00f6zenli ve b\u00fcy\u00fck bir dirayetle y\u00f6netmemiz gerekecek. Ekonomi y\u00f6netimimiz kararl\u0131l\u0131kla 2019\u2019un ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 etkili y\u00f6netip, 2019\u2019un ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ekonomiyi d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe \u00e7\u0131karmaya odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EKONOM\u0130Y\u0130 \u2018SIRTLAYAN\u2019 \u0130L \u0130STANBUL<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015-2017 d\u00f6nemini kapsayan veriler, \u00fclkenin milli gelirinin \u00fcretilmesinde, \u0130stanbul\u2019un tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fczde 31.2\u2019lik bir pay\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Uluslararas\u0131 Rekabet Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Kurumu Derne\u011fi (URAK) \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda, uzunca bir s\u00fcredir hesap etti\u011fimiz \u2018\u0130ller Aras\u0131 Rekabet Endeksi\u2019, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00fcresel rekabet a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en rekabet\u00e7i ilinin 76.1 puanla \u0130stanbul oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu durumda, \u0130stanbul\u2019un tek ba\u015f\u0131na neredeyse T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin katma de\u011ferinin \u00fc\u00e7te birini \u00fcretiyor olmas\u0131na \u00e7ok mu \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmal\u0131y\u0131z?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu tablo, ayn\u0131 zamanda, \u0130stanbul\u2019un neden bu kadar n\u00fcfus \u00e7ekti\u011fini; asl\u0131nda 10 milyon seviyesinde olmas\u0131 gerekirken, \u0130stanbul\u2019un neden 15 milyonu a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. \u0130stanbul\u2019dan sonra \u0130ller Aras\u0131 Rekabet s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda Ankara 42 puan, \u0130zmir 31 puan, Bursa 29 puan ve Kocaeli 25.8 puanla s\u0131ralanmakta. \u0130stanbul tek ba\u015f\u0131na 970 milyar TL milli gelir \u00fcretirken, y\u00fczde 61.4\u2019\u00fc hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden. Ankara, 281 milyar lira 2. s\u0131rada geliyor ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin toplam milli gelirinde sadece y\u00fczde 9\u2019luk pay\u0131 var. 3. s\u0131radaki \u0130zmir 192 milyar TL ile sadece y\u00fczde 6.2\u2019lik paya sahip. \u0130stanbul, tek ba\u015f\u0131na neredeyse 3.5 Ankara, 5 \u0130zmir ediyor. Bursa, 128 milyar TL ile, Kocaeli ise 120 milyar TL ile hemen arkalar\u0131ndan geliyor. \u0130stanbul 7.5 Bursa, 8 Kocaeli ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu tablo, 2023, 2053 ve 2071 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019si i\u00e7in, \u0130stanbul\u2019un \u00fczerinden bu y\u00fck\u00fc al\u0131p, en az 10 ili daha katma de\u011fer \u00fcretiminde, milli gelir \u00fcretiminde \u00e7ok daha \u00fcst basamaklara ta\u015f\u0131mam\u0131z gerekti\u011fine, daha iddial\u0131 bir konuma getirmemiz gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na GSYH \u00fcretiminde ise, \u0130stanbul 18 bin dolar ile yine ilk s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken, bu sefer 17 bin 800 dolarla Kocaeli 2. s\u0131raya y\u00fckseliyor. Kocaeli n\u00fcfus ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6nemli bir \u00fcretkenlik ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Ankara, Tekirda\u011f, \u0130zmir, Bursa, Bilecik ve Yalova ise ilk ikiyi takip ediyor. \u0130llerin performans\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131racak projelere odaklanmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2019un-bagaji-hayli-yuklu","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2019\u2019un bagaj\u0131 hayli y\u00fckl\u00fc","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":80,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}