{"status":true,"post":{"id":20045,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:42:44","created_at":"2019-03-17T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:42:44.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20045,"is_featured":0,"title":"2018 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme de\u011ferlendirmesi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

\u00d6zellikle ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 zorlu ge\u00e7en 2018\u2019e ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri, ge\u00e7mi\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fck oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n tescili anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisini daha \u00e7ok gelece\u011fe \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutan y\u00f6nleri ile de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>

1 - SON \u00c7EYREKTEK\u0130 DARALMAYA RA\u011eMEN 2018\u2019DE EKONOM\u0130 Y\u00dcZDE 2.6 B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 BA\u015eARDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2018\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 0.5, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 6.4, finansal sekt\u00f6r y\u00fczde 16.2 ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 8.7 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Ticaret, ula\u015ft\u0131rma, konaklama ve yiyecek hizmeti faaliyetlerinin toplam\u0131ndan olu\u015fan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise 2018 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0.3 darald\u0131. Son \u00e7eyrekteki bu daralmaya kar\u015f\u0131n 2018\u2019in genelinde tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.3, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.1 ve finansal kesim y\u00fczde 1.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.9 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Ticaret, ula\u015ft\u0131rma, konaklama ve yiyecek hizmeti faaliyetlerinin toplam\u0131ndan olu\u015fan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 5.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. \u0130n\u015faat hari\u00e7 sekt\u00f6rler 2018\u2019i b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapatt\u0131. Ekonomide hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00f6receli olarak daha iyi bir performans g\u00f6sterdi.<\/span><\/p>

2 - \u00d6ZEL T\u00dcKET\u0130M VE YATIRIM HARCAMALARI OLUMSUZ ETK\u0130LEND\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2018 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.9, sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 12.9 darald\u0131. 2018\u2019de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.1 artarken, sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 1.7 darald\u0131. 2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 25.8 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. 2018\u2019in genelinde makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.9 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Ekonomide son \u00e7eyrekteki daralman\u0131n ana unsurlar\u0131 olarak \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131ndaki kuvvetli k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

3 - SON \u00c7EYREKTEK\u0130 DARALMANIN NEDENLER\u0130 GELECE\u011eE I\u015eIK TUTUYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomideki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin iki ana nedeni bulunuyor. \u0130lki enflasyon, faizler ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile birlikte hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn erozyona u\u011framas\u0131 ile \u015firketlerin mali yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bozulmas\u0131. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Y\u00fcksek enflasyon hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc azaltt\u0131. \u0130kincisi ise uygulanmaya ba\u015flanan ekonomide dengelenme program\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 daralt\u0131c\u0131 etki. <\/span><\/p>

4 - SANAY\u0130DE VE \u0130N\u015eAAT SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcNDE K\u00dc\u00c7\u00dcLME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sekt\u00f6rler itibariyle de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde son \u00e7eyrekte sanayide ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7ok keskin bir daralma ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu daralma sadece talepteki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeden de\u011fil ayn\u0131 zamanda sekt\u00f6rlerin ve firmalar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 mali s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lardan da kaynakland\u0131. Sanayide son \u00e7eyrekte \u00e7ok keskin bir daralma ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7 talepteki daralmay\u0131 ikame edemedi.<\/span><\/p>

5 - MAK\u0130NA VE TE\u00c7H\u0130ZAT YATIRIMLARINDA SON 10 YILIN EN Y\u00dcKSEK DARALMASI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise finansal ko\u015fullardaki bozulma ve faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile birlikte son \u00e7eyrekte \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6zelikle makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en sert \u00e7eyrek daralmas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131. \u0130\u00e7 talepteki kuvvetli daralma, kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok olumsuz etkiledi. Makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fme ise ancak sekt\u00f6rlerdeki iyile\u015fme ve normalle\u015fmeden sonra ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek.<\/span><\/p>

6 - 2019\u2019DA SANAY\u0130 VE \u0130N\u015eAATTAN BA\u015eLAYACAK \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eMEYE \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 VAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ekonomide son \u00e7eyrekteki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme, 2019\u2019a da sarkacak. Mevcut ekonomide dengeleme politikalar\u0131 ile iyile\u015fme s\u00fcreci uzuyor. Di\u011fer yandan firmalar\u0131n mali yap\u0131lar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir iyile\u015fme sa\u011flanmadan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7i\u015f de \u00f6telenecek. Ekonomide \u00f6zellikle sanayi ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6rlerinde ve de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ile sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 harcamalar\u0131nda toparlanmaya ihtiya\u00e7 bulunuyor. <\/span>
Aksi takdirde ekonomi uzun s\u00fcreli bir resesyona girebilecek.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Ekonomide iyile\u015fme i\u00e7in yap\u0131sal ad\u0131mlara da ihtiya\u00e7 var.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"2018-ekonomik-buyume-degerlendirmesi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2018 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme de\u011ferlendirmesi","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":484,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":20144,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20045,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2018 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme de\u011ferlendirmesi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

\u00d6zellikle ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 zorlu ge\u00e7en 2018\u2019e ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri, ge\u00e7mi\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fck oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n tescili anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisini daha \u00e7ok gelece\u011fe \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutan y\u00f6nleri ile de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>

1 - SON \u00c7EYREKTEK\u0130 DARALMAYA RA\u011eMEN 2018\u2019DE EKONOM\u0130 Y\u00dcZDE 2.6 B\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 BA\u015eARDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2018\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 0.5, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 6.4, finansal sekt\u00f6r y\u00fczde 16.2 ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 8.7 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Ticaret, ula\u015ft\u0131rma, konaklama ve yiyecek hizmeti faaliyetlerinin toplam\u0131ndan olu\u015fan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise 2018 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0.3 darald\u0131. Son \u00e7eyrekteki bu daralmaya kar\u015f\u0131n 2018\u2019in genelinde tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.3, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.1 ve finansal kesim y\u00fczde 1.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.9 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Ticaret, ula\u015ft\u0131rma, konaklama ve yiyecek hizmeti faaliyetlerinin toplam\u0131ndan olu\u015fan hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 5.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. \u0130n\u015faat hari\u00e7 sekt\u00f6rler 2018\u2019i b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapatt\u0131. Ekonomide hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00f6receli olarak daha iyi bir performans g\u00f6sterdi.<\/span><\/p>

2 - \u00d6ZEL T\u00dcKET\u0130M VE YATIRIM HARCAMALARI OLUMSUZ ETK\u0130LEND\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2018 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.9, sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 12.9 darald\u0131. 2018\u2019de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.1 artarken, sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 1.7 darald\u0131. 2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 25.8 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. 2018\u2019in genelinde makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.9 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. Ekonomide son \u00e7eyrekteki daralman\u0131n ana unsurlar\u0131 olarak \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131ndaki kuvvetli k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

3 - SON \u00c7EYREKTEK\u0130 DARALMANIN NEDENLER\u0130 GELECE\u011eE I\u015eIK TUTUYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2018\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomideki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin iki ana nedeni bulunuyor. \u0130lki enflasyon, faizler ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile birlikte hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn erozyona u\u011framas\u0131 ile \u015firketlerin mali yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bozulmas\u0131. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Y\u00fcksek enflasyon hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc azaltt\u0131. \u0130kincisi ise uygulanmaya ba\u015flanan ekonomide dengelenme program\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 daralt\u0131c\u0131 etki. <\/span><\/p>

4 - SANAY\u0130DE VE \u0130N\u015eAAT SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcNDE K\u00dc\u00c7\u00dcLME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sekt\u00f6rler itibariyle de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde son \u00e7eyrekte sanayide ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7ok keskin bir daralma ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu daralma sadece talepteki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeden de\u011fil ayn\u0131 zamanda sekt\u00f6rlerin ve firmalar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 mali s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lardan da kaynakland\u0131. Sanayide son \u00e7eyrekte \u00e7ok keskin bir daralma ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7 talepteki daralmay\u0131 ikame edemedi.<\/span><\/p>

5 - MAK\u0130NA VE TE\u00c7H\u0130ZAT YATIRIMLARINDA SON 10 YILIN EN Y\u00dcKSEK DARALMASI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise finansal ko\u015fullardaki bozulma ve faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile birlikte son \u00e7eyrekte \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6zelikle makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en sert \u00e7eyrek daralmas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131. \u0130\u00e7 talepteki kuvvetli daralma, kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok olumsuz etkiledi. Makina ve te\u00e7hizat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fme ise ancak sekt\u00f6rlerdeki iyile\u015fme ve normalle\u015fmeden sonra ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek.<\/span><\/p>

6 - 2019\u2019DA SANAY\u0130 VE \u0130N\u015eAATTAN BA\u015eLAYACAK \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eMEYE \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 VAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ekonomide son \u00e7eyrekteki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme, 2019\u2019a da sarkacak. Mevcut ekonomide dengeleme politikalar\u0131 ile iyile\u015fme s\u00fcreci uzuyor. Di\u011fer yandan firmalar\u0131n mali yap\u0131lar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir iyile\u015fme sa\u011flanmadan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7i\u015f de \u00f6telenecek. Ekonomide \u00f6zellikle sanayi ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6rlerinde ve de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ile sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 harcamalar\u0131nda toparlanmaya ihtiya\u00e7 bulunuyor. <\/span>
Aksi takdirde ekonomi uzun s\u00fcreli bir resesyona girebilecek.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Ekonomide iyile\u015fme i\u00e7in yap\u0131sal ad\u0131mlara da ihtiya\u00e7 var.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"2018-ekonomik-buyume-degerlendirmesi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2018 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme de\u011ferlendirmesi","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":484,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}