{"status":true,"post":{"id":17052,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:14:40","created_at":"2017-08-14T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:14:40.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17052,"is_featured":0,"title":"2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 8","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">8 A\u011fustos\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klanan haziran ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisi, sanayinin bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fcksek bir \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 trendi ile yoluna devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Nisan ay\u0131nda, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.7\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f yakalayan sanayimiz, may\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.5 ve haziran ay\u0131nda da 3.4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 4.6\u2019l\u0131k bir ortalama \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131na imza att\u0131. Bu performans, y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 8\u2019e bile \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130statistiki yan\u0131lma pay\u0131 dikkate al\u0131narak hesaplama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 2. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 6.45 ile 7.25 aras\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bununla birlikte, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayi \u00fcretimi ortalama y\u00fczde 2.1\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 yakalamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5 \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle y\u00fczde 4.6\u2019l\u0131k sanayi \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131, 2. \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi rahatl\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8 ve \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u0130HRACAT\u00c7ILARIN PERFORMANSI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in\u2019in y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye yak\u0131n bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2. \u00e7eyrekte de k\u00fcresel bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 3 olarak \u015fekilleniyor. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde ortaya koyduklar\u0131 performans, net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n merak etti\u011fi bir ba\u015fka konunun Euro-dolar paritesinin seyri oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatmam\u0131z laz\u0131m. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu belirsizlik, ABD\u2019nin i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyasetine y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fmalar Euro-dolar paritesi \u00fczerinde hayli belirleyici. Nitekim Euro-dolar paritesi, 2015\u2019in ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana geldi\u011fi en y\u00fcksek seviye olan 1.1893 dolar\u0131 bile g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EURO-DOLAR PAR\u0130TES\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verilerinin beklenenden iyi gelmesi ile bir g\u00fcnde Euro 1.1728 dolara gerilemi\u015f olsa da, gerek Avrupa\u2019daki yaz tatilleri dolay\u0131s\u0131yla i\u015flem hacminin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131, gerekse de Fed yetkililerinin, ABD\u2019nin enflasyon verilerinde g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr bir art\u0131\u015f olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcddet\u00e7e, yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmalar\u0131, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bask\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesine sebep oluyor. Bu nedenle Euro da 1.1750-1.18 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda de\u011ferini koruyor. Bununla birlikte eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ortas\u0131ndaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme karar\u0131, aral\u0131k ay\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan da bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 karar\u0131 daha \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde, Euro-dolar paritesinde trendin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya d\u00f6nmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TUR\u0130ZMDE ORTAK AKIL ZAMANI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye enerji alan\u0131nda yerli-milli imkanlara y\u00f6nelik tarihi ad\u0131mlar at\u0131yor. Bu ad\u0131mlar, 2020\u2019lerden itibaren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak, hem milli gelire hem de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacak. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltacak kritik \u00f6nemde sekt\u00f6rlerden biri de turizm. \u0130malat sanayi, y\u00fcksek teknolojili \u00fcr\u00fcnler derken, turizmin y\u0131lda 30-35 milyar dolar d\u00f6viz geliriyle en y\u00fcksek ihracat gelirini kazand\u0131ran otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden daha fazla katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeliyiz. Bu da, ancak turizme y\u00f6nelik bakanl\u0131k, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve medya i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve ortak ak\u0131l olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fclt\u00fcr ve Turizm Bakan\u0131 Numan Kurtulmu\u015f\u2019un sekt\u00f6r temsilcileri ile bir araya geldi\u011fi Antalya toplant\u0131s\u0131nda vurgulanan rakamlar, milli gelirdeki y\u00fczde 12\u2019lik ve istihdamdaki y\u00fczde 8.2\u2019lik pay\u0131yla k\u00fclt\u00fcr ve turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00fcce ve potansiyele ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2023 hedefi 50 milyon turist ve 50 milyar dolar gelir. Bu hedefin ba\u015far\u0131lmas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00e7ok d\u00f6viz geliri kazand\u0131ran sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olarak turizmin yol haritas\u0131 ve stratejisinin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan ge\u00e7iyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnya Turizm \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn tahminleri, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131nda turist say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 1.8 milyara, sekt\u00f6r hacminin de 7.2 trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin turizm gelirlerinin ise 140 milyar dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Turizm sekt\u00f6r ekosistemi, medyan\u0131n da fark\u0131ndal\u0131k deste\u011fi ile 2023 i\u00e7in geliri 50 milyar dolar, 2030\u2019da ise 140 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Yeter ki, turizme de stratejik sekt\u00f6r olarak yakla\u015fal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2-ceyrek-buyume-yuzde-8","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 8","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":81,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":17151,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17052,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 8","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">8 A\u011fustos\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klanan haziran ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisi, sanayinin bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fcksek bir \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 trendi ile yoluna devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Nisan ay\u0131nda, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.7\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f yakalayan sanayimiz, may\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.5 ve haziran ay\u0131nda da 3.4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 4.6\u2019l\u0131k bir ortalama \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131na imza att\u0131. Bu performans, y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 8\u2019e bile \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130statistiki yan\u0131lma pay\u0131 dikkate al\u0131narak hesaplama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 2. \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 6.45 ile 7.25 aras\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bununla birlikte, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayi \u00fcretimi ortalama y\u00fczde 2.1\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 yakalamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 5 \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle y\u00fczde 4.6\u2019l\u0131k sanayi \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131, 2. \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi rahatl\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8 ve \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u0130HRACAT\u00c7ILARIN PERFORMANSI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in\u2019in y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye yak\u0131n bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2. \u00e7eyrekte de k\u00fcresel bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 3 olarak \u015fekilleniyor. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde ortaya koyduklar\u0131 performans, net ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye pozitif katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n merak etti\u011fi bir ba\u015fka konunun Euro-dolar paritesinin seyri oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatmam\u0131z laz\u0131m. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu belirsizlik, ABD\u2019nin i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f siyasetine y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fmalar Euro-dolar paritesi \u00fczerinde hayli belirleyici. Nitekim Euro-dolar paritesi, 2015\u2019in ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana geldi\u011fi en y\u00fcksek seviye olan 1.1893 dolar\u0131 bile g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EURO-DOLAR PAR\u0130TES\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verilerinin beklenenden iyi gelmesi ile bir g\u00fcnde Euro 1.1728 dolara gerilemi\u015f olsa da, gerek Avrupa\u2019daki yaz tatilleri dolay\u0131s\u0131yla i\u015flem hacminin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131, gerekse de Fed yetkililerinin, ABD\u2019nin enflasyon verilerinde g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr bir art\u0131\u015f olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcddet\u00e7e, yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmalar\u0131, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bask\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesine sebep oluyor. Bu nedenle Euro da 1.1750-1.18 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda de\u011ferini koruyor. Bununla birlikte eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ortas\u0131ndaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltme karar\u0131, aral\u0131k ay\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan da bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 karar\u0131 daha \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde, Euro-dolar paritesinde trendin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya d\u00f6nmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TUR\u0130ZMDE ORTAK AKIL ZAMANI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye enerji alan\u0131nda yerli-milli imkanlara y\u00f6nelik tarihi ad\u0131mlar at\u0131yor. Bu ad\u0131mlar, 2020\u2019lerden itibaren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak, hem milli gelire hem de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacak. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltacak kritik \u00f6nemde sekt\u00f6rlerden biri de turizm. \u0130malat sanayi, y\u00fcksek teknolojili \u00fcr\u00fcnler derken, turizmin y\u0131lda 30-35 milyar dolar d\u00f6viz geliriyle en y\u00fcksek ihracat gelirini kazand\u0131ran otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden daha fazla katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeliyiz. Bu da, ancak turizme y\u00f6nelik bakanl\u0131k, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve medya i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve ortak ak\u0131l olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">K\u00fclt\u00fcr ve Turizm Bakan\u0131 Numan Kurtulmu\u015f\u2019un sekt\u00f6r temsilcileri ile bir araya geldi\u011fi Antalya toplant\u0131s\u0131nda vurgulanan rakamlar, milli gelirdeki y\u00fczde 12\u2019lik ve istihdamdaki y\u00fczde 8.2\u2019lik pay\u0131yla k\u00fclt\u00fcr ve turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00fcce ve potansiyele ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2023 hedefi 50 milyon turist ve 50 milyar dolar gelir. Bu hedefin ba\u015far\u0131lmas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00e7ok d\u00f6viz geliri kazand\u0131ran sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olarak turizmin yol haritas\u0131 ve stratejisinin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan ge\u00e7iyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnya Turizm \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn tahminleri, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131nda turist say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 1.8 milyara, sekt\u00f6r hacminin de 7.2 trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin turizm gelirlerinin ise 140 milyar dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Turizm sekt\u00f6r ekosistemi, medyan\u0131n da fark\u0131ndal\u0131k deste\u011fi ile 2023 i\u00e7in geliri 50 milyar dolar, 2030\u2019da ise 140 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Yeter ki, turizme de stratejik sekt\u00f6r olarak yakla\u015fal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"2-ceyrek-buyume-yuzde-8","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 8","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":81,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}